Recent CDC FluSurv-NET data show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate reaching 86.3 per 100,000 by Week 18 ending May 9, 2026, with weekly rates already down to 0.2 per 100,000 amid sharply declining national activity. This post-peak stabilization, following a season with the third-highest cumulative burden since 2010-11, positions the rate for Week 22 ending late May firmly in the 85–90 range, as additional admissions in the final weeks of surveillance are expected to remain negligible. Market-implied odds above 98% reflect this established downward trajectory from official surveillance, though an unexpected late-season uptick in transmission could still push the final cumulative figure modestly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
85–90 98.4%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
98%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.4%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
98%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent CDC FluSurv-NET data show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate reaching 86.3 per 100,000 by Week 18 ending May 9, 2026, with weekly rates already down to 0.2 per 100,000 amid sharply declining national activity. This post-peak stabilization, following a season with the third-highest cumulative burden since 2010-11, positions the rate for Week 22 ending late May firmly in the 85–90 range, as additional admissions in the final weeks of surveillance are expected to remain negligible. Market-implied odds above 98% reflect this established downward trajectory from official surveillance, though an unexpected late-season uptick in transmission could still push the final cumulative figure modestly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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