The Glenorchy mayoral race remains wide open ahead of the October 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, with nominations scheduled to open on 7 September. Incumbent Sue Hickey, who won a 2024 by-election and has confirmed her re-election bid, holds a modest edge in trader pricing alongside other named contenders such as Russell Yaxley and Nathan Volf. The broad field of listed candidates and “Other” option each sit near even money because the candidate list is not yet finalised and no preferential voting patterns have emerged. Recent council activity, including progress on the Glenorchy War Memorial Pool upgrade and budget decisions, has kept local governance in focus but has not yet produced clear frontrunner separation. Formal candidate announcements, campaign platforms on infrastructure and rates, and any early preference flows once ballots are issued could quickly shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラッセル・ヤクスリー 50%
スー・ヒッキー 45%
ネイサン・ヴォルフ 39%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
ラッセル・ヤクスリー
50%
スー・ヒッキー
45%
ネイサン・ヴォルフ
39%
ラッセル・ヤクスリー 50%
スー・ヒッキー 45%
ネイサン・ヴォルフ 39%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
ラッセル・ヤクスリー
$0 Vol.
50%
スー・ヒッキー
$0 Vol.
45%
ネイサン・ヴォルフ
$0 Vol.
39%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Glenorchy mayoral race remains wide open ahead of the October 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, with nominations scheduled to open on 7 September. Incumbent Sue Hickey, who won a 2024 by-election and has confirmed her re-election bid, holds a modest edge in trader pricing alongside other named contenders such as Russell Yaxley and Nathan Volf. The broad field of listed candidates and “Other” option each sit near even money because the candidate list is not yet finalised and no preferential voting patterns have emerged. Recent council activity, including progress on the Glenorchy War Memorial Pool upgrade and budget decisions, has kept local governance in focus but has not yet produced clear frontrunner separation. Formal candidate announcements, campaign platforms on infrastructure and rates, and any early preference flows once ballots are issued could quickly shift implied probabilities.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Glenorchy mayoral race remains wide open ahead of the October 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, with nominations scheduled to open on 7 September. Incumbent Sue Hickey, who won a 2024 by-election and has confirmed her re-election bid, holds a modest edge in trader pricing alongside other named contenders such as Russell Yaxley and Nathan Volf. The broad field of listed candidates and “Other” option each sit near even money because the candidate list is not yet finalised and no preferential voting patterns have emerged. Recent council activity, including progress on the Glenorchy War Memorial Pool upgrade and budget decisions, has kept local governance in focus but has not yet produced clear frontrunner separation. Formal candidate announcements, campaign platforms on infrastructure and rates, and any early preference flows once ballots are issued could quickly shift implied probabilities.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ETThe Glenorchy mayoral race remains wide open ahead of the October 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, with nominations scheduled to open on 7 September. Incumbent Sue Hickey, who won a 2024 by-election and has confirmed her re-election bid, holds a modest edge in trader pricing alongside other named contenders such as Russell Yaxley and Nathan Volf. The broad field of listed candidates and “Other” option each sit near even money because the candidate list is not yet finalised and no preferential voting patterns have emerged. Recent council activity, including progress on the Glenorchy War Memorial Pool upgrade and budget decisions, has kept local governance in focus but has not yet produced clear frontrunner separation. Formal candidate announcements, campaign platforms on infrastructure and rates, and any early preference flows once ballots are issued could quickly shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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