Latest forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Weather.com point to a June 28 high near 31–32°C in Beijing, with scattered thunderstorms and light rain expected to moderate peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late June, when the East Asian monsoon onset often brings variable moisture and afternoon convection that caps temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 31–33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in model timing of any showers versus clearer intervals, plus Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns and surface conditions. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日の北京の最高気温は?
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
33°C 18%
30°C 11.8%
$10,685 Vol.
$10,685 Vol.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
33°C 18%
30°C 11.8%
$10,685 Vol.
$10,685 Vol.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Weather.com point to a June 28 high near 31–32°C in Beijing, with scattered thunderstorms and light rain expected to moderate peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late June, when the East Asian monsoon onset often brings variable moisture and afternoon convection that caps temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 31–33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in model timing of any showers versus clearer intervals, plus Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns and surface conditions. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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