Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to maximum temperatures near Karachi’s June climatological average of 34–36 °C on the 29th, shaped by persistent Arabian Sea sea-surface temperatures, moderate southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer humidity. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 34 °C outcome (42.5 % implied probability) because model runs cluster tightly in the 33–35 °C range, with only modest spread from potential cloud cover or scattered showers forecast for 28–29 June that could limit afternoon heating. Above-normal temperatures noted earlier in the month have eased slightly as pre-monsoon moisture increases, reducing the odds of outliers above 36 °C while keeping 33 °C and 35 °C as viable secondary resolutions. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Karachi on June 29?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 29?
34°C 57%
35°C 33%
33°C 6%
36°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
2026/06/29
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
57%
35°C
33%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 57%
35°C 33%
33°C 6%
36°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
2026/06/29
28°C or below
$22,565 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21,491 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,965 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,748 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,593 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,091 Vol.
6%
34°C
$6,650 Vol.
57%
35°C
$2,524 Vol.
33%
36°C
$1,076 Vol.
1%
37°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to maximum temperatures near Karachi’s June climatological average of 34–36 °C on the 29th, shaped by persistent Arabian Sea sea-surface temperatures, moderate southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer humidity. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 34 °C outcome (42.5 % implied probability) because model runs cluster tightly in the 33–35 °C range, with only modest spread from potential cloud cover or scattered showers forecast for 28–29 June that could limit afternoon heating. Above-normal temperatures noted earlier in the month have eased slightly as pre-monsoon moisture increases, reducing the odds of outliers above 36 °C while keeping 33 °C and 35 °C as viable secondary resolutions. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 27, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$66,806終了日
2026/06/29マーケット開始日
Jun 27, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to maximum temperatures near Karachi’s June climatological average of 34–36 °C on the 29th, shaped by persistent Arabian Sea sea-surface temperatures, moderate southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer humidity. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 34 °C outcome (42.5 % implied probability) because model runs cluster tightly in the 33–35 °C range, with only modest spread from potential cloud cover or scattered showers forecast for 28–29 June that could limit afternoon heating. Above-normal temperatures noted earlier in the month have eased slightly as pre-monsoon moisture increases, reducing the odds of outliers above 36 °C while keeping 33 °C and 35 °C as viable secondary resolutions. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$66,806終了日
2026/06/29マーケット開始日
Jun 27, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts and ensemble models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to maximum temperatures near Karachi’s June climatological average of 34–36 °C on the 29th, shaped by persistent Arabian Sea sea-surface temperatures, moderate southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer humidity. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 34 °C outcome (42.5 % implied probability) because model runs cluster tightly in the 33–35 °C range, with only modest spread from potential cloud cover or scattered showers forecast for 28–29 June that could limit afternoon heating. Above-normal temperatures noted earlier in the month have eased slightly as pre-monsoon moisture increases, reducing the odds of outliers above 36 °C while keeping 33 °C and 35 °C as viable secondary resolutions. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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