Recent Met Office guidance indicates London’s maximum temperature on June 30 will likely peak near 24 °C as the intense late-June heatwave relaxes. High pressure that drove mid-30 °C readings earlier in the week is giving way to fresher Atlantic air and scattered showers, moderating daytime maxima toward seasonal norms of 20–22 °C while still allowing modest warming under residual sunshine. Ensemble model consensus and the latest operational runs cluster tightly around 23–25 °C, with only limited upside risk if clearing skies persist longer than expected. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s leading 24 °C (38 %) and 25 °C (21.5 %) contracts, reflecting traders’ assessment of rapidly evolving synoptic conditions two days before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on June 30?
24°C 41%
25°C 27%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
$17,632 Vol.
$17,632 Vol.
21°C or below
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
21%
24°C
41%
25°C
27%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 27%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
$17,632 Vol.
$17,632 Vol.
21°C or below
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
21%
24°C
41%
25°C
27%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance indicates London’s maximum temperature on June 30 will likely peak near 24 °C as the intense late-June heatwave relaxes. High pressure that drove mid-30 °C readings earlier in the week is giving way to fresher Atlantic air and scattered showers, moderating daytime maxima toward seasonal norms of 20–22 °C while still allowing modest warming under residual sunshine. Ensemble model consensus and the latest operational runs cluster tightly around 23–25 °C, with only limited upside risk if clearing skies persist longer than expected. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s leading 24 °C (38 %) and 25 °C (21.5 %) contracts, reflecting traders’ assessment of rapidly evolving synoptic conditions two days before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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