El Niño conditions developing in June–July 2026, alongside a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and the Southwest Monsoon, are driving above-average temperatures and drier conditions across Singapore through October. Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts indicate daily maxima frequently reaching 32–34°C during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C under reduced cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C (38%) and 33°C (27.5%) outcomes. Short-range models for June 27 project thundery showers and highs near 33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of 31–32°C but elevated by the broader warming signal. Traders are weighting these moderate outcomes heavily given stable steering patterns and limited model spread, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the moderating influence of afternoon convection typical in equatorial regimes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月27日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 59%
33°C 38%
34°C or higher <1%
24°C or below <1%
$55,694 Vol.
$55,694 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
59%
33°C
38%
34°C or higher
1%
32°C 59%
33°C 38%
34°C or higher <1%
24°C or below <1%
$55,694 Vol.
$55,694 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
59%
33°C
38%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
El Niño conditions developing in June–July 2026, alongside a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and the Southwest Monsoon, are driving above-average temperatures and drier conditions across Singapore through October. Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts indicate daily maxima frequently reaching 32–34°C during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C under reduced cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C (38%) and 33°C (27.5%) outcomes. Short-range models for June 27 project thundery showers and highs near 33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of 31–32°C but elevated by the broader warming signal. Traders are weighting these moderate outcomes heavily given stable steering patterns and limited model spread, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the moderating influence of afternoon convection typical in equatorial regimes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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