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icon for ホバート市長選挙勝者

ホバート市長選挙勝者

icon for ホバート市長選挙勝者

ホバート市長選挙勝者

マーティ・ズッコ 44%

ライアン・ポセルト 43%

マイク・ダッタ 42%

ビル・ハーヴィー 42%

Polymarket
新規

マーティ・ズッコ 44%

ライアン・ポセルト 43%

マイク・ダッタ 42%

ビル・ハーヴィー 42%

Polymarket
新規
icon for マーティ・ズッコ

マーティ・ズッコ

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for ライアン・ポセルト

ライアン・ポセルト

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for マイク・ダッタ

マイク・ダッタ

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for ビル・ハーヴィー

ビル・ハーヴィー

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for ルイーズ・ブルームフィールド

ルイーズ・ブルームフィールド

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for ハーヴィー・レノン

ハーヴィー・レノン

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for ジョン・ケリー

ジョン・ケリー

$0 Vol.

22%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, features a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, and John Kelly. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because nominations have not yet opened and no candidate has established a clear advantage under preferential voting. Recent council divisions over issues such as amalgamation proposals, code-of-conduct matters, rates policy, and internal leadership transitions have underscored the fragmented nature of local support. Further candidate declarations, early polling, or endorsements ahead of the October postal ballot could begin to shift probabilities as preferences consolidate.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, features a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, and John Kelly. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because nominations have not yet opened and no candidate has established a clear advantage under preferential voting. Recent council divisions over issues such as amalgamation proposals, code-of-conduct matters, rates policy, and internal leadership transitions have underscored the fragmented nature of local support. Further candidate declarations, early polling, or endorsements ahead of the October postal ballot could begin to shift probabilities as preferences consolidate.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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よくある質問

「ホバート市長選挙勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーティ・ズッコ」で44%、次いで「ライアン・ポセルト」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ホバート市長選挙勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ホバート市長選挙勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ホバート市長選挙勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーティ・ズッコ」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ライアン・ポセルト」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ホバート市長選挙勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。