Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5万～10万 69%
10万～15万 28%
20万件以上 17%
<0 13.3%
新規
新規
2026/07/03
<0
13%
0〜50,000
38%
5万～10万
46%
10万～15万
46%
15万～20万
10%
20万件以上
24%
5万～10万 69%
10万～15万 28%
20万件以上 17%
<0 13.3%
新規
新規
2026/07/03
<0
$930 Vol.
13%
0〜50,000
$1,177 Vol.
38%
5万～10万
$720 Vol.
46%
10万～15万
$214 Vol.
46%
15万～20万
$148 Vol.
10%
20万件以上
$74 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
音量
$3,263終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
音量
$3,263終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus estimates near 80,000-85,000 with upward revisions to prior months, have anchored trader sentiment for June job gains by underscoring labor market resilience and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate. This outcome, alongside stable wage growth around 3.4% year-over-year and broad hiring in leisure, hospitality, and government, supports the market-implied 41.5% probability on 200k+ additions while tempering downside bets. Persistent inflation concerns and the June 16-17 FOMC projections have shifted focus toward policy caution, reducing rate-cut expectations and highlighting potential moderation risks from a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. The June report, due July 2, remains the key near-term catalyst alongside weekly jobless claims data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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