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icon for フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?

フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?

icon for フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?

フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$0 Vol.

17%

10月31日

$0 Vol.

49%

11月30日

$0 Vol.

50%

12月31日

$0 Vol.

61%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hung Cao, currently serving as acting Secretary of the Navy since April 2026 after John Phelan's departure, received President Trump's nomination for the permanent role on September 1, with formal Senate transmission in mid-September. His prior confirmation as Under Secretary occurred in October 2025 by a 52-45 vote. A 2021 statute requires service secretaries to be at least seven years removed from active duty; Cao retired as a captain in October 2021, necessitating a congressional waiver before full eligibility in 2028. The Senate Armed Services Committee process, cloture votes, and floor consideration will determine outcomes, alongside any midterm election effects on Senate composition and scheduling. Ongoing Navy operations amid the Iran conflict add operational context but do not directly alter confirmation mechanics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hung Cao, currently serving as acting Secretary of the Navy since April 2026 after John Phelan's departure, received President Trump's nomination for the permanent role on September 1, with formal Senate transmission in mid-September. His prior confirmation as Under Secretary occurred in October 2025 by a 52-45 vote. A 2021 statute requires service secretaries to be at least seven years removed from active duty; Cao retired as a captain in October 2021, necessitating a congressional waiver before full eligibility in 2028. The Senate Armed Services Committee process, cloture votes, and floor consideration will determine outcomes, alongside any midterm election effects on Senate composition and scheduling. Ongoing Navy operations amid the Iran conflict add operational context but do not directly alter confirmation mechanics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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「フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で61%、次いで「11月30日」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「フン・カオが海軍長官に就任したのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「11月30日」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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