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icon for フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

icon for フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者

ポール・ギブソン 25%

トビー・ソープ 13%

マーシャル・キャラハン 10%

サリー・ドイル 3.4%

Polymarket
新規

ポール・ギブソン 25%

トビー・ソープ 13%

マーシャル・キャラハン 10%

サリー・ドイル 3.4%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ポール・ギブソン

ポール・ギブソン

$1,036 Vol.

25%

icon for トビー・ソープ

トビー・ソープ

$1,265 Vol.

13%

icon for マーシャル・キャラハン

マーシャル・キャラハン

$507 Vol.

10%

icon for サリー・ドイル

サリー・ドイル

$335 Vol.

3%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race sits in a wide-open field ahead of Tasmania’s October 27, 2026 local government elections, with nominations opening September 7. Incumbent Sally Doyle draws visibility from ongoing council work on planning, tourism, and health services, yet trader pricing shows no frontrunner because multiple experienced locals—including sitting councillors Paul Gibson and Toby Thorpe plus former candidate Marshall Callaghan—have signaled interest. The broad field, postal-ballot format, and compulsory voting keep probabilities closely matched across many names, with limited trading volume reflecting the pre-campaign uncertainty. Any early endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or policy announcements before the September 21 close could begin to separate the field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$3,143
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Huon Valley mayoral race sits in a wide-open field ahead of Tasmania’s October 27, 2026 local government elections, with nominations opening September 7. Incumbent Sally Doyle draws visibility from ongoing council work on planning, tourism, and health services, yet trader pricing shows no frontrunner because multiple experienced locals—including sitting councillors Paul Gibson and Toby Thorpe plus former candidate Marshall Callaghan—have signaled interest. The broad field, postal-ballot format, and compulsory voting keep probabilities closely matched across many names, with limited trading volume reflecting the pre-campaign uncertainty. Any early endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or policy announcements before the September 21 close could begin to separate the field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$3,143
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ポール・ギブソン」で25%、次いで「トビー・ソープ」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ポール・ギブソン」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「トビー・ソープ」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「フオンバレー市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。