Idaho's solidly Republican electorate and long-standing preference for GOP Senate candidates underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over two-thirds of the vote and now faces independent Todd Achilles in November after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July following Achilles's entry with party backing. Statewide voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Risch's established profile create significant structural barriers for any challenger. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp shift in national political conditions, or Achilles consolidating unusually broad crossover support could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events this close to election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,755 Vol.
$28,755 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$28,755 Vol.
$28,755 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$14,698 Vol.
96%
民主党
$14,057 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's solidly Republican electorate and long-standing preference for GOP Senate candidates underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over two-thirds of the vote and now faces independent Todd Achilles in November after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July following Achilles's entry with party backing. Statewide voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Risch's established profile create significant structural barriers for any challenger. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp shift in national political conditions, or Achilles consolidating unusually broad crossover support could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events this close to election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$28,755終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's solidly Republican electorate and long-standing preference for GOP Senate candidates underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over two-thirds of the vote and now faces independent Todd Achilles in November after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July following Achilles's entry with party backing. Statewide voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Risch's established profile create significant structural barriers for any challenger. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp shift in national political conditions, or Achilles consolidating unusually broad crossover support could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events this close to election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$28,755終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's solidly Republican electorate and long-standing preference for GOP Senate candidates underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over two-thirds of the vote and now faces independent Todd Achilles in November after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July following Achilles's entry with party backing. Statewide voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Risch's established profile create significant structural barriers for any challenger. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp shift in national political conditions, or Achilles consolidating unusually broad crossover support could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability events this close to election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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