Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding lead in recent polls, including University of New Hampshire surveys from mid-April showing her ahead of top Republican primary contenders Brian Shortsleeve, Michael Minogue, and Mike Kennealy by 19–23 points among likely voters, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 95.9% to win the November 3 general election. Massachusetts' deep-blue status, Healey's 2022 landslide victory, and her unchallenged Democratic primary path—bolstered by a Suffolk poll giving her 63%—reflect the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid a fragmented GOP field ahead of the September 1 primaries. A sharp approval drop reported April 24 or emergence of a breakout Republican nominee could challenge this, though historical incumbency advantages in the state persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,362 Vol.
95%
共和党
$12,910 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding lead in recent polls, including University of New Hampshire surveys from mid-April showing her ahead of top Republican primary contenders Brian Shortsleeve, Michael Minogue, and Mike Kennealy by 19–23 points among likely voters, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 95.9% to win the November 3 general election. Massachusetts' deep-blue status, Healey's 2022 landslide victory, and her unchallenged Democratic primary path—bolstered by a Suffolk poll giving her 63%—reflect the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid a fragmented GOP field ahead of the September 1 primaries. A sharp approval drop reported April 24 or emergence of a breakout Republican nominee could challenge this, though historical incumbency advantages in the state persist.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$25,272終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding lead in recent polls, including University of New Hampshire surveys from mid-April showing her ahead of top Republican primary contenders Brian Shortsleeve, Michael Minogue, and Mike Kennealy by 19–23 points among likely voters, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 95.9% to win the November 3 general election. Massachusetts' deep-blue status, Healey's 2022 landslide victory, and her unchallenged Democratic primary path—bolstered by a Suffolk poll giving her 63%—reflect the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid a fragmented GOP field ahead of the September 1 primaries. A sharp approval drop reported April 24 or emergence of a breakout Republican nominee could challenge this, though historical incumbency advantages in the state persist.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$25,272終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding lead in recent polls, including University of New Hampshire surveys from mid-April showing her ahead of top Republican primary contenders Brian Shortsleeve, Michael Minogue, and Mike Kennealy by 19–23 points among likely voters, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 95.9% to win the November 3 general election. Massachusetts' deep-blue status, Healey's 2022 landslide victory, and her unchallenged Democratic primary path—bolstered by a Suffolk poll giving her 63%—reflect the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds amid a fragmented GOP field ahead of the September 1 primaries. A sharp approval drop reported April 24 or emergence of a breakout Republican nominee could challenge this, though historical incumbency advantages in the state persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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