Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between $22-25 million (31.5%) and over $25 million (29%) for the Michael Jackson biopic's domestic fourth-weekend gross, reflecting uncertainty around its exceptional legs amid minimal new competition. Antoine Fuqua's film posted a robust $35 million third-weekend haul—a mere 33% drop from weekend two—defying expectations against The Devil Wears Prada 2's $77 million debut, while crossing $600 million worldwide mid-week on strong word-of-mouth and international appeal. With domestic cumulative nearing $255 million and theaters holding steady, the market hinges on whether audience scores sustain front-loaded biopic momentum or typical late-run fatigue sets in ahead of Sunday estimates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マイケル」第4週末興行収入
「マイケル」第4週末興行収入
2,200万〜2,500万 53%
>2,500万ドル 22%
1,900万未満 16.6%
1,900万～2,200万 8.2%
$19,006 Vol.
$19,006 Vol.
2026/05/18
1,900万未満
11%
1,900万～2,200万
8%
2,200万〜2,500万
58%
>2,500万ドル
22%
2,200万〜2,500万 53%
>2,500万ドル 22%
1,900万未満 16.6%
1,900万～2,200万 8.2%
$19,006 Vol.
$19,006 Vol.
2026/05/18
1,900万未満
$2,014 Vol.
11%
1,900万～2,200万
$2,859 Vol.
8%
2,200万〜2,500万
$2,352 Vol.
58%
>2,500万ドル
$11,781 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between $22-25 million (31.5%) and over $25 million (29%) for the Michael Jackson biopic's domestic fourth-weekend gross, reflecting uncertainty around its exceptional legs amid minimal new competition. Antoine Fuqua's film posted a robust $35 million third-weekend haul—a mere 33% drop from weekend two—defying expectations against The Devil Wears Prada 2's $77 million debut, while crossing $600 million worldwide mid-week on strong word-of-mouth and international appeal. With domestic cumulative nearing $255 million and theaters holding steady, the market hinges on whether audience scores sustain front-loaded biopic momentum or typical late-run fatigue sets in ahead of Sunday estimates.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
音量
$19,006終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between $22-25 million (31.5%) and over $25 million (29%) for the Michael Jackson biopic's domestic fourth-weekend gross, reflecting uncertainty around its exceptional legs amid minimal new competition. Antoine Fuqua's film posted a robust $35 million third-weekend haul—a mere 33% drop from weekend two—defying expectations against The Devil Wears Prada 2's $77 million debut, while crossing $600 million worldwide mid-week on strong word-of-mouth and international appeal. With domestic cumulative nearing $255 million and theaters holding steady, the market hinges on whether audience scores sustain front-loaded biopic momentum or typical late-run fatigue sets in ahead of Sunday estimates.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$19,006終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between $22-25 million (31.5%) and over $25 million (29%) for the Michael Jackson biopic's domestic fourth-weekend gross, reflecting uncertainty around its exceptional legs amid minimal new competition. Antoine Fuqua's film posted a robust $35 million third-weekend haul—a mere 33% drop from weekend two—defying expectations against The Devil Wears Prada 2's $77 million debut, while crossing $600 million worldwide mid-week on strong word-of-mouth and international appeal. With domestic cumulative nearing $255 million and theaters holding steady, the market hinges on whether audience scores sustain front-loaded biopic momentum or typical late-run fatigue sets in ahead of Sunday estimates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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