Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？
ハーヴェイ・ワインスタインの実刑判決？
実刑なし 30.0%
10〜20年 27.0%
20〜30年 24.3%
5年未満 9.6%
$928,346 Vol.
$928,346 Vol.
2025/12/31
実刑なし
30%
5年未満
10%
5～10年
4%
10〜20年
27%
20〜30年
24%
30年以上
7%
実刑なし 30.0%
10〜20年 27.0%
20〜30年 24.3%
5年未満 9.6%
$928,346 Vol.
$928,346 Vol.
2025/12/31
実刑なし
$330,936 Vol.
30%
5年未満
$122,724 Vol.
10%
5～10年
$72,657 Vol.
4%
10〜20年
$148,773 Vol.
27%
20〜30年
$187,259 Vol.
24%
30年以上
$65,998 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
音量
$928,346終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$928,346終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jury deliberations began this week in Harvey Weinstein's third New York retrial on a third-degree rape charge involving actress Jessica Mann—previously resulting in a hung jury—fueling the closely contested trader sentiment on his total prison time. No prison time leads at 29.6%, neck-and-neck with 20-30 years (24.3%) and 10-20 years (23.2%), as bettors parse the #MeToo-era Hollywood mogul's standing 16-year California rape sentence under appeal, an upheld 2025 Manhattan sex assault conviction awaiting sentencing, and his age-74 health struggles, including a chest pain episode halting proceedings yesterday. Key swing factors include the imminent verdict, appellate rulings, and plea possibilities for concurrent terms or time served.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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