Recent downward revisions in pre-release tracking have become the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on Supergirl’s domestic opening weekend, with NRG and other firms now pegging the June 26 debut around $51 million after earlier estimates exceeded $55 million. This places the Warner Bros. DC Studios title in a tight band that overlaps multiple lower-bracket outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether strong Superman goodwill and Milly Alcock’s profile can offset softer awareness and direct competition from Toy Story 5. Analysts cite a potential floor near $39–45 million amid mixed comparable-film performance for female-led superhero entries, while upside hinges on last-minute presales and early reviews. The film opens nationwide this Friday, with final numbers likely determining whether results land above or below the closely matched 43–47 million and 39–43 million ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スーパーガール」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス(小括弧)
4300万〜4700万ドル 44%
3,900万〜4,300万 26%
4,700万ドル超 21%
3,500万〜3,900万ドル 11%
3,500万未満
2%
3,500万〜3,900万ドル
11%
3,900万〜4,300万
26%
4300万〜4700万ドル
44%
4,700万ドル超
21%
4300万〜4700万ドル 44%
3,900万〜4,300万 26%
4,700万ドル超 21%
3,500万〜3,900万ドル 11%
3,500万未満
2%
3,500万〜3,900万ドル
11%
3,900万〜4,300万
26%
4300万〜4700万ドル
44%
4,700万ドル超
21%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Jun 22, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent downward revisions in pre-release tracking have become the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on Supergirl’s domestic opening weekend, with NRG and other firms now pegging the June 26 debut around $51 million after earlier estimates exceeded $55 million. This places the Warner Bros. DC Studios title in a tight band that overlaps multiple lower-bracket outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether strong Superman goodwill and Milly Alcock’s profile can offset softer awareness and direct competition from Toy Story 5. Analysts cite a potential floor near $39–45 million amid mixed comparable-film performance for female-led superhero entries, while upside hinges on last-minute presales and early reviews. The film opens nationwide this Friday, with final numbers likely determining whether results land above or below the closely matched 43–47 million and 39–43 million ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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