Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
新規
$44,438 Vol.
新規
$44,438 Vol.
2026/06/24
<40
10%
40-64
56%
65-89
31%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
新規
$44,438 Vol.
新規
$44,438 Vol.
2026/06/24
<40
$3,856 Vol.
10%
40-64
$1,694 Vol.
56%
65-89
$2,593 Vol.
31%
90-114
$3,756 Vol.
4%
115-139
$1,701 Vol.
1%
140-164
$2,597 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$12,879 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$4,788 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,788 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,788 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$44,438終了日
2026/06/24マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$44,438終了日
2026/06/24マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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