Close competition among AI chatbots, sports streaming platforms, and reality TV tie-ins is keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% for the June 26 free-app crown. Ongoing FIFA World Cup 2026 matches continue to drive downloads for dedicated viewing apps such as FOX One and Fubo, while Love Island USA’s record Peacock viewership and refreshed companion app sustain momentum for Peacock TV and the official Love Island title. Meanwhile, ChatGPT and Claude by Anthropic trade places based on incremental feature releases and developer sentiment, with Threads offering a steady social alternative. No single catalyst has yet emerged to break the deadlock ahead of the one-day resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Threads 37%
FOX One: ライブニュース、スポーツ、テレビ 36%
アンソロピックのClaude 34%
Peacock TV:テレビ&映画のストリーミング 22%

Threads
37%

FOX One: ライブニュース、スポーツ、テレビ
36%

アンソロピックのClaude
24%

Peacock TV:テレビ&映画のストリーミング
22%

ChatGPT
21%

FIFA ワールドカップ 2026
18%

Fubo:ライブTVとスポーツ
4%

ラブ・アイランドUSA
30%
Threads 37%
FOX One: ライブニュース、スポーツ、テレビ 36%
アンソロピックのClaude 34%
Peacock TV:テレビ&映画のストリーミング 22%

Threads
37%

FOX One: ライブニュース、スポーツ、テレビ
36%

アンソロピックのClaude
24%

Peacock TV:テレビ&映画のストリーミング
22%

ChatGPT
21%

FIFA ワールドカップ 2026
18%

Fubo:ライブTVとスポーツ
4%

ラブ・アイランドUSA
30%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
マーケット開始日: Jun 19, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Close competition among AI chatbots, sports streaming platforms, and reality TV tie-ins is keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% for the June 26 free-app crown. Ongoing FIFA World Cup 2026 matches continue to drive downloads for dedicated viewing apps such as FOX One and Fubo, while Love Island USA’s record Peacock viewership and refreshed companion app sustain momentum for Peacock TV and the official Love Island title. Meanwhile, ChatGPT and Claude by Anthropic trade places based on incremental feature releases and developer sentiment, with Threads offering a steady social alternative. No single catalyst has yet emerged to break the deadlock ahead of the one-day resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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