Disney+ stands at roughly 132 million subscribers as of the end of fiscal 2025, with quarterly gains typically in the low single-digit millions amid a maturing streaming market and competition from Netflix and others. Disney halted detailed subscriber reporting after Q4 2025, and growth has remained modest into 2026, leaving an 18-million-subscriber gap that cannot realistically close by September given historical patterns and platform dynamics. Traders assign 96.4% odds to “No” because recent content releases, bundling with Hulu, and ad-tier adoption have produced only incremental lifts rather than the acceleration needed. A surprise blockbuster series or aggressive global promotions could theoretically add millions quickly, though such a surge would still fall well short of the required threshold before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2027/01/01
はい
新規
新規
2027/01/01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).Disney+ stands at roughly 132 million subscribers as of the end of fiscal 2025, with quarterly gains typically in the low single-digit millions amid a maturing streaming market and competition from Netflix and others. Disney halted detailed subscriber reporting after Q4 2025, and growth has remained modest into 2026, leaving an 18-million-subscriber gap that cannot realistically close by September given historical patterns and platform dynamics. Traders assign 96.4% odds to “No” because recent content releases, bundling with Hulu, and ad-tier adoption have produced only incremental lifts rather than the acceleration needed. A surprise blockbuster series or aggressive global promotions could theoretically add millions quickly, though such a surge would still fall well short of the required threshold before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
音量
$1,740終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).Disney+ stands at roughly 132 million subscribers as of the end of fiscal 2025, with quarterly gains typically in the low single-digit millions amid a maturing streaming market and competition from Netflix and others. Disney halted detailed subscriber reporting after Q4 2025, and growth has remained modest into 2026, leaving an 18-million-subscriber gap that cannot realistically close by September given historical patterns and platform dynamics. Traders assign 96.4% odds to “No” because recent content releases, bundling with Hulu, and ad-tier adoption have produced only incremental lifts rather than the acceleration needed. A surprise blockbuster series or aggressive global promotions could theoretically add millions quickly, though such a surge would still fall well short of the required threshold before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
音量
$1,740終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Disney+ stands at roughly 132 million subscribers as of the end of fiscal 2025, with quarterly gains typically in the low single-digit millions amid a maturing streaming market and competition from Netflix and others. Disney halted detailed subscriber reporting after Q4 2025, and growth has remained modest into 2026, leaving an 18-million-subscriber gap that cannot realistically close by September given historical patterns and platform dynamics. Traders assign 96.4% odds to “No” because recent content releases, bundling with Hulu, and ad-tier adoption have produced only incremental lifts rather than the acceleration needed. A surprise blockbuster series or aggressive global promotions could theoretically add millions quickly, though such a surge would still fall well short of the required threshold before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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