SpaceX continues advancing Starship flight tests from its Texas Starbase facility, with the thirteenth integrated test flight completed in July 2026 and the next orbital attempt targeted for Q3. Trader sentiment on a Florida debut by late 2026 centers on the pace of FAA licensing, environmental reviews, and infrastructure readiness at Kennedy Space Center's LC-39A, where Falcon vehicles already operate but Starship-specific modifications remain pending. Delays in achieving reliable booster catch-and-reuse or addressing range safety concerns could push timelines, while successful Texas iterations and NASA partnerships may accelerate approvals. Key upcoming catalysts include additional test flights and any new regulatory filings that clarify launch cadence potential from the East Coast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
August 31, 2026
2%
December 31, 2026
33%
June 30, 2027
77%
$6,470 Vol.
August 31, 2026
$1,427 Vol.
2%
December 31, 2026
$4,825 Vol.
33%
June 30, 2027
$219 Vol.
77%
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues advancing Starship flight tests from its Texas Starbase facility, with the thirteenth integrated test flight completed in July 2026 and the next orbital attempt targeted for Q3. Trader sentiment on a Florida debut by late 2026 centers on the pace of FAA licensing, environmental reviews, and infrastructure readiness at Kennedy Space Center's LC-39A, where Falcon vehicles already operate but Starship-specific modifications remain pending. Delays in achieving reliable booster catch-and-reuse or addressing range safety concerns could push timelines, while successful Texas iterations and NASA partnerships may accelerate approvals. Key upcoming catalysts include additional test flights and any new regulatory filings that clarify launch cadence potential from the East Coast.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
音量
$6,470終了日
2027/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues advancing Starship flight tests from its Texas Starbase facility, with the thirteenth integrated test flight completed in July 2026 and the next orbital attempt targeted for Q3. Trader sentiment on a Florida debut by late 2026 centers on the pace of FAA licensing, environmental reviews, and infrastructure readiness at Kennedy Space Center's LC-39A, where Falcon vehicles already operate but Starship-specific modifications remain pending. Delays in achieving reliable booster catch-and-reuse or addressing range safety concerns could push timelines, while successful Texas iterations and NASA partnerships may accelerate approvals. Key upcoming catalysts include additional test flights and any new regulatory filings that clarify launch cadence potential from the East Coast.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$6,470終了日
2027/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX continues advancing Starship flight tests from its Texas Starbase facility, with the thirteenth integrated test flight completed in July 2026 and the next orbital attempt targeted for Q3. Trader sentiment on a Florida debut by late 2026 centers on the pace of FAA licensing, environmental reviews, and infrastructure readiness at Kennedy Space Center's LC-39A, where Falcon vehicles already operate but Starship-specific modifications remain pending. Delays in achieving reliable booster catch-and-reuse or addressing range safety concerns could push timelines, while successful Texas iterations and NASA partnerships may accelerate approvals. Key upcoming catalysts include additional test flights and any new regulatory filings that clarify launch cadence potential from the East Coast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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