SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors—hardware explicitly added to enable ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic propellant transfer. The first V3 test flight in May 2026 carried these systems, building on years of Dragon docking heritage and recent full-scale qualification tests. No orbital docking between two Starships has occurred yet, but SpaceX has publicly targeted a 2026 demonstration mission involving one vehicle launching first, followed by a tanker rendezvous. Recent flight cadence gains and Block 3 redesigns support trader expectations for progress this year, tempered by typical test-flight risks and any lingering regulatory reviews after the Flight 12 booster anomaly. Key catalysts ahead include additional V3 launches and public updates on the refueling timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
December 31, 2026?
38%
December 31, 2027?
43%
$0.00 Vol.
December 31, 2026?
$0 Vol.
38%
December 31, 2027?
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors—hardware explicitly added to enable ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic propellant transfer. The first V3 test flight in May 2026 carried these systems, building on years of Dragon docking heritage and recent full-scale qualification tests. No orbital docking between two Starships has occurred yet, but SpaceX has publicly targeted a 2026 demonstration mission involving one vehicle launching first, followed by a tanker rendezvous. Recent flight cadence gains and Block 3 redesigns support trader expectations for progress this year, tempered by typical test-flight risks and any lingering regulatory reviews after the Flight 12 booster anomaly. Key catalysts ahead include additional V3 launches and public updates on the refueling timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2028/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors—hardware explicitly added to enable ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic propellant transfer. The first V3 test flight in May 2026 carried these systems, building on years of Dragon docking heritage and recent full-scale qualification tests. No orbital docking between two Starships has occurred yet, but SpaceX has publicly targeted a 2026 demonstration mission involving one vehicle launching first, followed by a tanker rendezvous. Recent flight cadence gains and Block 3 redesigns support trader expectations for progress this year, tempered by typical test-flight risks and any lingering regulatory reviews after the Flight 12 booster anomaly. Key catalysts ahead include additional V3 launches and public updates on the refueling timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$0終了日
2028/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s Starship V3 vehicles now incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant feed connections, and DragonEye navigation sensors—hardware explicitly added to enable ship-to-ship rendezvous and cryogenic propellant transfer. The first V3 test flight in May 2026 carried these systems, building on years of Dragon docking heritage and recent full-scale qualification tests. No orbital docking between two Starships has occurred yet, but SpaceX has publicly targeted a 2026 demonstration mission involving one vehicle launching first, followed by a tanker rendezvous. Recent flight cadence gains and Block 3 redesigns support trader expectations for progress this year, tempered by typical test-flight risks and any lingering regulatory reviews after the Flight 12 booster anomaly. Key catalysts ahead include additional V3 launches and public updates on the refueling timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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