Keir Starmer faces mounting internal Labour Party pressure to step down after heavy local election losses and a shift in cabinet sentiment, with expectations rising that he will outline a resignation timetable on Monday to facilitate a smooth handover. Andy Burnham’s recent by-election win and positioning as successor have accelerated the narrative, prompting insiders to anticipate an autumn departure rather than a contested leadership fight. Starmer’s earlier public vows to stay on have given way to more measured signals from allies, reflecting rapid erosion of support amid policy criticisms on immigration and energy. Traders monitoring the announcement market should watch for any last-minute statements or procedural updates from Downing Street, as the precise wording of his exit remarks could hinge on how the transition is framed to party unity and legacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/06/23
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
31%
Thank 5+ times
50%
NHS 3+ times
31%
Crime / Criminal
43%
Hate / Hatred
43%
Deep / Deeply
47%
Urgent
46%
Ban
45%
Social Media
76%
Defense
86%
Scotland
45%
Northern Ireland
45%
Constituent / Constituency
45%
Shadow
45%
Europe
73%
United States
38%
Trump
5%
Record Funding
45%
Record Investment
46%
Condolences
38%
Poverty
86%
Waiting List
85%
Russia / Ukraine
74%
Victim
42%
World Cup
46%
Labour
95%
Green
45%
$704 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
$0 Vol.
31%
Thank 5+ times
$27 Vol.
50%
NHS 3+ times
$0 Vol.
31%
Crime / Criminal
$10 Vol.
43%
Hate / Hatred
$10 Vol.
43%
Deep / Deeply
$53 Vol.
47%
Urgent
$0 Vol.
46%
Ban
$0 Vol.
45%
Social Media
$141 Vol.
76%
Defense
$10 Vol.
86%
Scotland
$0 Vol.
45%
Northern Ireland
$0 Vol.
45%
Constituent / Constituency
$0 Vol.
45%
Shadow
$0 Vol.
45%
Europe
$1 Vol.
73%
United States
$0 Vol.
38%
Trump
$0 Vol.
5%
Record Funding
$0 Vol.
45%
Record Investment
$0 Vol.
46%
Condolences
$0 Vol.
38%
Poverty
$117 Vol.
86%
Waiting List
$93 Vol.
85%
Russia / Ukraine
$106 Vol.
74%
Victim
$19 Vol.
42%
World Cup
$10 Vol.
46%
Labour
$107 Vol.
95%
Green
$0 Vol.
45%
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Keir Starmer faces mounting internal Labour Party pressure to step down after heavy local election losses and a shift in cabinet sentiment, with expectations rising that he will outline a resignation timetable on Monday to facilitate a smooth handover. Andy Burnham’s recent by-election win and positioning as successor have accelerated the narrative, prompting insiders to anticipate an autumn departure rather than a contested leadership fight. Starmer’s earlier public vows to stay on have given way to more measured signals from allies, reflecting rapid erosion of support amid policy criticisms on immigration and energy. Traders monitoring the announcement market should watch for any last-minute statements or procedural updates from Downing Street, as the precise wording of his exit remarks could hinge on how the transition is framed to party unity and legacy.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 22, 2026, 3:01 AM ET
音量
$704終了日
2026/06/24マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 3:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Keir Starmer faces mounting internal Labour Party pressure to step down after heavy local election losses and a shift in cabinet sentiment, with expectations rising that he will outline a resignation timetable on Monday to facilitate a smooth handover. Andy Burnham’s recent by-election win and positioning as successor have accelerated the narrative, prompting insiders to anticipate an autumn departure rather than a contested leadership fight. Starmer’s earlier public vows to stay on have given way to more measured signals from allies, reflecting rapid erosion of support amid policy criticisms on immigration and energy. Traders monitoring the announcement market should watch for any last-minute statements or procedural updates from Downing Street, as the precise wording of his exit remarks could hinge on how the transition is framed to party unity and legacy.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$704終了日
2026/06/24マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 3:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer faces mounting internal Labour Party pressure to step down after heavy local election losses and a shift in cabinet sentiment, with expectations rising that he will outline a resignation timetable on Monday to facilitate a smooth handover. Andy Burnham’s recent by-election win and positioning as successor have accelerated the narrative, prompting insiders to anticipate an autumn departure rather than a contested leadership fight. Starmer’s earlier public vows to stay on have given way to more measured signals from allies, reflecting rapid erosion of support amid policy criticisms on immigration and energy. Traders monitoring the announcement market should watch for any last-minute statements or procedural updates from Downing Street, as the precise wording of his exit remarks could hinge on how the transition is framed to party unity and legacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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