**Strong opening momentum for the original Spielberg sci-fi thriller sets up a closely watched second weekend hold.** "Disclosure Day" debuted at roughly $44 million domestically (June 12–14), exceeding pre-release tracking of $35–40 million and delivering Universal’s biggest opening for a non-franchise Spielberg original. The $93–94 million global start, driven by international markets and premium formats, reflects solid awareness and adult audience interest (60% over 35) in its UFO-conspiracy premise. Traders see narrow spreads across the $20–26 million range because second-weekend performance hinges on several volatile factors: word-of-mouth after mixed audience scores despite generally positive reviews, competition from holdovers like "Obsession," and typical drops for original mid-budget sci-fi (often 50–60%+). A modest hold near $24–26 million would signal sustained buzz and Spielberg brand strength; steeper declines toward or below $20 million would highlight challenges for non-IP titles in the current market. The next chart update and early social metrics will likely decide the tight contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「ディスクロージャー・デー」第2週末興行収入
「ディスクロージャー・デー」第2週末興行収入
2000万ドル未満 55%
2000万～2200万 32%
2,200万～2,400万 23%
2,400万～2,600万 23%
新規
新規
2026/06/21
2000万ドル未満
55%
2000万～2200万
32%
2,200万～2,400万
23%
2,400万～2,600万
23%
2,600万ドル超
8%
2000万ドル未満 55%
2000万～2200万 32%
2,200万～2,400万 23%
2,400万～2,600万 23%
新規
新規
2026/06/21
2000万ドル未満
$40 Vol.
55%
2000万～2200万
$0 Vol.
32%
2,200万～2,400万
$0 Vol.
23%
2,400万～2,600万
$0 Vol.
23%
2,600万ドル超
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 19 - June 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening momentum for the original Spielberg sci-fi thriller sets up a closely watched second weekend hold.** "Disclosure Day" debuted at roughly $44 million domestically (June 12–14), exceeding pre-release tracking of $35–40 million and delivering Universal’s biggest opening for a non-franchise Spielberg original. The $93–94 million global start, driven by international markets and premium formats, reflects solid awareness and adult audience interest (60% over 35) in its UFO-conspiracy premise.
Traders see narrow spreads across the $20–26 million range because second-weekend performance hinges on several volatile factors: word-of-mouth after mixed audience scores despite generally positive reviews, competition from holdovers like "Obsession," and typical drops for original mid-budget sci-fi (often 50–60%+). A modest hold near $24–26 million would signal sustained buzz and Spielberg brand strength; steeper declines toward or below $20 million would highlight challenges for non-IP titles in the current market. The next chart update and early social metrics will likely decide the tight contest.
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 19 - June 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$45終了日
2026/06/21マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 19 - June 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening momentum for the original Spielberg sci-fi thriller sets up a closely watched second weekend hold.** "Disclosure Day" debuted at roughly $44 million domestically (June 12–14), exceeding pre-release tracking of $35–40 million and delivering Universal’s biggest opening for a non-franchise Spielberg original. The $93–94 million global start, driven by international markets and premium formats, reflects solid awareness and adult audience interest (60% over 35) in its UFO-conspiracy premise.
Traders see narrow spreads across the $20–26 million range because second-weekend performance hinges on several volatile factors: word-of-mouth after mixed audience scores despite generally positive reviews, competition from holdovers like "Obsession," and typical drops for original mid-budget sci-fi (often 50–60%+). A modest hold near $24–26 million would signal sustained buzz and Spielberg brand strength; steeper declines toward or below $20 million would highlight challenges for non-IP titles in the current market. The next chart update and early social metrics will likely decide the tight contest.
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 19 - June 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$45終了日
2026/06/21マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong opening momentum for the original Spielberg sci-fi thriller sets up a closely watched second weekend hold.** "Disclosure Day" debuted at roughly $44 million domestically (June 12–14), exceeding pre-release tracking of $35–40 million and delivering Universal’s biggest opening for a non-franchise Spielberg original. The $93–94 million global start, driven by international markets and premium formats, reflects solid awareness and adult audience interest (60% over 35) in its UFO-conspiracy premise. Traders see narrow spreads across the $20–26 million range because second-weekend performance hinges on several volatile factors: word-of-mouth after mixed audience scores despite generally positive reviews, competition from holdovers like "Obsession," and typical drops for original mid-budget sci-fi (often 50–60%+). A modest hold near $24–26 million would signal sustained buzz and Spielberg brand strength; steeper declines toward or below $20 million would highlight challenges for non-IP titles in the current market. The next chart update and early social metrics will likely decide the tight contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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