Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace on X underpins trader consensus around the 180-239 tweet range for the June 19-26 window, where implied probabilities sit within 1 percentage point of each other. Historical weekly totals from comparable 2026 periods have clustered near 200-280, reflecting his baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day punctuated by spikes during company news or viral threads. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI milestones confirmed for that exact week, markets price in routine engagement rather than an outlier surge, leaving room for variance from breaking developments or quieter stretches. Traders weigh recent daily activity patterns most heavily, as last-minute events could still shift the final count across the tightly bunched frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
$289,087 Vol.
$289,087 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
$289,087 Vol.
$289,087 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent posting pace on X underpins trader consensus around the 180-239 tweet range for the June 19-26 window, where implied probabilities sit within 1 percentage point of each other. Historical weekly totals from comparable 2026 periods have clustered near 200-280, reflecting his baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day punctuated by spikes during company news or viral threads. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI milestones confirmed for that exact week, markets price in routine engagement rather than an outlier surge, leaving room for variance from breaking developments or quieter stretches. Traders weigh recent daily activity patterns most heavily, as last-minute events could still shift the final count across the tightly bunched frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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