**Diplomatic progress in US-Iran talks has centered on indirect negotiations and a preliminary framework, without any scheduled in-person bilateral contact.** As of June 17, 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 involving a ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of further nuclear talks, with virtual signatures by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian parliamentary leadership. A formal signing is referenced for Friday, June 19, but details point to European venues or mediated channels rather than direct Trump-Iranian official meetings. Trump has been at the G7 summit in France, issuing statements on the deal and meeting other leaders, while talks have relied on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar. With only three days remaining before the June 20 deadline, the absence of any announced or imminent face-to-face encounter explains the 92.5% trader consensus on "No." The current trajectory favors continued indirect diplomacy over rapid high-level personal engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/06/20
はい
新規
新規
2026/06/20
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.**Diplomatic progress in US-Iran talks has centered on indirect negotiations and a preliminary framework, without any scheduled in-person bilateral contact.**
As of June 17, 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 involving a ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of further nuclear talks, with virtual signatures by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian parliamentary leadership. A formal signing is referenced for Friday, June 19, but details point to European venues or mediated channels rather than direct Trump-Iranian official meetings. Trump has been at the G7 summit in France, issuing statements on the deal and meeting other leaders, while talks have relied on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar.
With only three days remaining before the June 20 deadline, the absence of any announced or imminent face-to-face encounter explains the 92.5% trader consensus on "No." The current trajectory favors continued indirect diplomacy over rapid high-level personal engagement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
音量
$1,592終了日
2026/06/20マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.**Diplomatic progress in US-Iran talks has centered on indirect negotiations and a preliminary framework, without any scheduled in-person bilateral contact.**
As of June 17, 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 involving a ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of further nuclear talks, with virtual signatures by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian parliamentary leadership. A formal signing is referenced for Friday, June 19, but details point to European venues or mediated channels rather than direct Trump-Iranian official meetings. Trump has been at the G7 summit in France, issuing statements on the deal and meeting other leaders, while talks have relied on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar.
With only three days remaining before the June 20 deadline, the absence of any announced or imminent face-to-face encounter explains the 92.5% trader consensus on "No." The current trajectory favors continued indirect diplomacy over rapid high-level personal engagement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
音量
$1,592終了日
2026/06/20マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Diplomatic progress in US-Iran talks has centered on indirect negotiations and a preliminary framework, without any scheduled in-person bilateral contact.** As of June 17, 2026, reports indicate a memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 involving a ceasefire extension, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and 60 days of further nuclear talks, with virtual signatures by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian parliamentary leadership. A formal signing is referenced for Friday, June 19, but details point to European venues or mediated channels rather than direct Trump-Iranian official meetings. Trump has been at the G7 summit in France, issuing statements on the deal and meeting other leaders, while talks have relied on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar. With only three days remaining before the June 20 deadline, the absence of any announced or imminent face-to-face encounter explains the 92.5% trader consensus on "No." The current trajectory favors continued indirect diplomacy over rapid high-level personal engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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