US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon began in April 2026 with the first ambassador-level meeting in Washington hosted by Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Subsequent rounds, including a fourth session on June 2-3, produced conditional ceasefire understandings tied to Hezbollah's withdrawal from southern areas and a halt to its attacks. Lebanese and Israeli officials have continued these negotiations aimed at border security, sovereignty recognition, and eventual peace framework, with the next session set for June 22. The process reflects US diplomatic pressure amid renewed cross-border tensions and Hezbollah's role as a complicating factor. Trader assessments of additional meetings by any near-term deadline hinge on whether these trilateral sessions advance or stall over implementation disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,202 Vol.
2026/06/15
June 15
4%
6月22日
70%
6月30日
90%
$11,202 Vol.
June 15
$285 Vol.
4%
6月22日
$4,268 Vol.
70%
6月30日
$6,649 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon began in April 2026 with the first ambassador-level meeting in Washington hosted by Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Subsequent rounds, including a fourth session on June 2-3, produced conditional ceasefire understandings tied to Hezbollah's withdrawal from southern areas and a halt to its attacks. Lebanese and Israeli officials have continued these negotiations aimed at border security, sovereignty recognition, and eventual peace framework, with the next session set for June 22. The process reflects US diplomatic pressure amid renewed cross-border tensions and Hezbollah's role as a complicating factor. Trader assessments of additional meetings by any near-term deadline hinge on whether these trilateral sessions advance or stall over implementation disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
音量
$11,202終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon began in April 2026 with the first ambassador-level meeting in Washington hosted by Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Subsequent rounds, including a fourth session on June 2-3, produced conditional ceasefire understandings tied to Hezbollah's withdrawal from southern areas and a halt to its attacks. Lebanese and Israeli officials have continued these negotiations aimed at border security, sovereignty recognition, and eventual peace framework, with the next session set for June 22. The process reflects US diplomatic pressure amid renewed cross-border tensions and Hezbollah's role as a complicating factor. Trader assessments of additional meetings by any near-term deadline hinge on whether these trilateral sessions advance or stall over implementation disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,202終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated direct talks between Israel and Lebanon began in April 2026 with the first ambassador-level meeting in Washington hosted by Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Subsequent rounds, including a fourth session on June 2-3, produced conditional ceasefire understandings tied to Hezbollah's withdrawal from southern areas and a halt to its attacks. Lebanese and Israeli officials have continued these negotiations aimed at border security, sovereignty recognition, and eventual peace framework, with the next session set for June 22. The process reflects US diplomatic pressure amid renewed cross-border tensions and Hezbollah's role as a complicating factor. Trader assessments of additional meetings by any near-term deadline hinge on whether these trilateral sessions advance or stall over implementation disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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