Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,292 Vol.
$16,292 Vol.
2026/06/15
$16,292 Vol.
$16,292 Vol.
2026/06/15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$16,292終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$16,292終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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