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icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

icon for Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

6月 30

6月 30

2% 確率
Polymarket
新規
2% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No official proposals, executive actions, or diplomatic initiatives have emerged to rename the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway between Iran and Oman whose status falls outside unilateral U.S. authority. Trader consensus at 98.4% on “No” reflects the absence of any legislative, regulatory, or administrative pathway for such a change by the June 30 deadline, consistent with historical patterns where geographic designations require multilateral agreements rather than single-nation executive orders. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected presidential statement or memorandum issued in the final weeks, though none have been announced or signaled in recent reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,720
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No official proposals, executive actions, or diplomatic initiatives have emerged to rename the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway between Iran and Oman whose status falls outside unilateral U.S. authority. Trader consensus at 98.4% on “No” reflects the absence of any legislative, regulatory, or administrative pathway for such a change by the June 30 deadline, consistent with historical patterns where geographic designations require multilateral agreements rather than single-nation executive orders. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected presidential statement or memorandum issued in the final weeks, though none have been announced or signaled in recent reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,720
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。例えば、「はい」が2¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を2%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して2%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を2%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。