Trump's recent comments on potential U.S.-Iran diplomacy have shaped trader views on the likelihood of public praise for Mojtaba Khamenei. After earlier criticism of the Iranian supreme leader's selection in March, the president stated on June 4 that he would be honored to meet Khamenei if a deal ends the ongoing conflict and described him positively. Reports from mid-June indicate Trump believes Khamenei has approved elements of a proposed settlement, with negotiations continuing through couriers amid the war's fourth month. These signals of engagement, rather than confrontation, support the current 59.5 percent implied probability for affirmative public remarks before the Friday deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's recent comments on potential U.S.-Iran diplomacy have shaped trader views on the likelihood of public praise for Mojtaba Khamenei. After earlier criticism of the Iranian supreme leader's selection in March, the president stated on June 4 that he would be honored to meet Khamenei if a deal ends the ongoing conflict and described him positively. Reports from mid-June indicate Trump believes Khamenei has approved elements of a proposed settlement, with negotiations continuing through couriers amid the war's fourth month. These signals of engagement, rather than confrontation, support the current 59.5 percent implied probability for affirmative public remarks before the Friday deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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