**US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 14, 2026, aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting the U.S. naval blockade, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland.** Vice President JD Vance stated on June 15 that the document had been electronically signed and the full text would be released “this week,” while President Trump indicated it would appear shortly after the ceremony. As of June 17 the complete text remains unpublished, though Iranian state media have circulated purported draft details and mediators describe the MOU as finalized. Trader positioning reflects expectations that the public release will closely follow the June 19 event, with outstanding elements such as sanctions relief and nuclear-program specifics deferred to subsequent 60-day talks. Any delay beyond the ceremony or conflicting statements from the parties could shift probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
$329,237 Vol.
2026/06/18
6月16日
8%
6月17日
36%
6月19日
85%
6月30日
94%
$329,237 Vol.
6月16日
$162,023 Vol.
8%
6月17日
$49,094 Vol.
36%
6月19日
$46,890 Vol.
85%
6月30日
$71,834 Vol.
94%
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
**US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 14, 2026, aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting the U.S. naval blockade, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland.**
Vice President JD Vance stated on June 15 that the document had been electronically signed and the full text would be released “this week,” while President Trump indicated it would appear shortly after the ceremony. As of June 17 the complete text remains unpublished, though Iranian state media have circulated purported draft details and mediators describe the MOU as finalized. Trader positioning reflects expectations that the public release will closely follow the June 19 event, with outstanding elements such as sanctions relief and nuclear-program specifics deferred to subsequent 60-day talks. Any delay beyond the ceremony or conflicting statements from the parties could shift probabilities.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
音量
$329,237終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
**US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 14, 2026, aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting the U.S. naval blockade, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland.**
Vice President JD Vance stated on June 15 that the document had been electronically signed and the full text would be released “this week,” while President Trump indicated it would appear shortly after the ceremony. As of June 17 the complete text remains unpublished, though Iranian state media have circulated purported draft details and mediators describe the MOU as finalized. Trader positioning reflects expectations that the public release will closely follow the June 19 event, with outstanding elements such as sanctions relief and nuclear-program specifics deferred to subsequent 60-day talks. Any delay beyond the ceremony or conflicting statements from the parties could shift probabilities.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$329,237終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 14, 2026, aimed at halting hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and lifting the U.S. naval blockade, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland.** Vice President JD Vance stated on June 15 that the document had been electronically signed and the full text would be released “this week,” while President Trump indicated it would appear shortly after the ceremony. As of June 17 the complete text remains unpublished, though Iranian state media have circulated purported draft details and mediators describe the MOU as finalized. Trader positioning reflects expectations that the public release will closely follow the June 19 event, with outstanding elements such as sanctions relief and nuclear-program specifics deferred to subsequent 60-day talks. Any delay beyond the ceremony or conflicting statements from the parties could shift probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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