Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党 71%
共和党 17%
無所属 15%
$180,997 Vol.
$180,997 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
71%
共和党
17%
無所属
15%
民主党 71%
共和党 17%
無所属 15%
$180,997 Vol.
$180,997 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$39,809 Vol.
71%
共和党
$141,117 Vol.
17%
無所属
$71 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$180,997終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$180,997終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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