The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement, has drawn strong interest in a state that narrowly backed the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74.5 percent implied probability because recent primary polling shows a competitive but well-funded field led by figures such as Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers faces a narrower path in the general election. Key developments include the August 4 Democratic primary timeline, ongoing candidate endorsements and fundraising reports, and Michigan's history of close Senate contests that have favored Democrats in statewide races despite presidential outcomes. Upcoming primary results and fall campaign events remain the main variables that could shift positioning before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$113,316 Vol.
$113,316 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
75%
共和党
27%
$113,316 Vol.
$113,316 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$81,766 Vol.
75%
共和党
$31,550 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement, has drawn strong interest in a state that narrowly backed the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74.5 percent implied probability because recent primary polling shows a competitive but well-funded field led by figures such as Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers faces a narrower path in the general election. Key developments include the August 4 Democratic primary timeline, ongoing candidate endorsements and fundraising reports, and Michigan's history of close Senate contests that have favored Democrats in statewide races despite presidential outcomes. Upcoming primary results and fall campaign events remain the main variables that could shift positioning before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$113,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement, has drawn strong interest in a state that narrowly backed the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74.5 percent implied probability because recent primary polling shows a competitive but well-funded field led by figures such as Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers faces a narrower path in the general election. Key developments include the August 4 Democratic primary timeline, ongoing candidate endorsements and fundraising reports, and Michigan's history of close Senate contests that have favored Democrats in statewide races despite presidential outcomes. Upcoming primary results and fall campaign events remain the main variables that could shift positioning before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$113,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement, has drawn strong interest in a state that narrowly backed the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74.5 percent implied probability because recent primary polling shows a competitive but well-funded field led by figures such as Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens, while Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers faces a narrower path in the general election. Key developments include the August 4 Democratic primary timeline, ongoing candidate endorsements and fundraising reports, and Michigan's history of close Senate contests that have favored Democrats in statewide races despite presidential outcomes. Upcoming primary results and fall campaign events remain the main variables that could shift positioning before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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