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スポーツ·野球

MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝

icon for MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝
スポーツ·野球

MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝

Jordan Walker 73.3%

Willson Contreras 50.0%

Jac Caglianone 1%

Ben Rice 0

Polymarket
新規

Jordan Walker 73.3%

Willson Contreras 50.0%

Jac Caglianone 1%

Ben Rice 0

Polymarket
新規

Jordan Walker

$74 Vol.

73%

Willson Contreras

$34 Vol.

50%

Jac Caglianone

$42 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$67 Vol.

-

Junior Caminero

$44 Vol.

-

Bryce Harper

$27 Vol.

-

カイル・シュワーバー

$35 Vol.

-

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
音量
$325
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
音量
$325
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026, 5 PM ET. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.

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よくある質問

「MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jordan Walker」で73%、次いで「Jac Caglianone」が71%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jul 10, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jordan Walker」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Jac Caglianone」で71%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MLBホームランダービー2026 ：優勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。