Skip to main content
icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
スポーツ·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
スポーツ·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 20%

Munetaka Murakami 15%

Matt Olson 6.9%

Polymarket
新規

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 20%

Munetaka Murakami 15%

Matt Olson 6.9%

Polymarket
新規

Aaron Judge

$141 Vol.

37%

Kyle Schwarber

$398 Vol.

20%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,396 Vol.

15%

Matt Olson

$661 Vol.

7%

Yordan Alvarez

$21 Vol.

7%

James Wood

$5 Vol.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$5 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$218 Vol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$161 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$201 Vol.

2%

Ben Rice

$5 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$5 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$5 Vol.

1%

Manny Machado

$5 Vol.

1%

Cal Raleigh

$5 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$5 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$32 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$5 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$27 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$5 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$5 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$5 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$5 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$5 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, fueled by his league-record 62 homers in 2022 and 58 in 2024, plus tying the current lead at 16 long balls alongside Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, whose blistering six homers over five games have propelled him to 20% amid a .950 OPS start in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. White Sox newcomer Munetaka Murakami sits one back at 15 with a historic rookie surge post his $34 million signing, earning 15% on raw power from his NPB background. Braves 1B Matt Olson (14 HRs, 7%) and Astros OF Yordan Alvarez (13, 7%) lurk as proven sluggers rebounding strong early, while clean injury reports and favorable schedules sustain the top pack in this marathon race.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,330
終了日
2026/09/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, fueled by his league-record 62 homers in 2022 and 58 in 2024, plus tying the current lead at 16 long balls alongside Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, whose blistering six homers over five games have propelled him to 20% amid a .950 OPS start in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. White Sox newcomer Munetaka Murakami sits one back at 15 with a historic rookie surge post his $34 million signing, earning 15% on raw power from his NPB background. Braves 1B Matt Olson (14 HRs, 7%) and Astros OF Yordan Alvarez (13, 7%) lurk as proven sluggers rebounding strong early, while clean injury reports and favorable schedules sustain the top pack in this marathon race.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,330
終了日
2026/09/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」はPolymarket上の25個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Aaron Judge」で37%、次いで「Kyle Schwarber」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 22, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」で取引するには、このページに記載されている25個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」の現在のフロントランナーは「Aaron Judge」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Kyle Schwarber」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MLB: Home Runs Leader」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。