Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the league's ongoing no-hitter drought—now spanning from 2025, the first year without one in two decades—through over 600 games into mid-May. Despite dominant outings like Paul Skenes' perfect game into the seventh inning versus the Brewers on April 24 and Nolan McLean's bid to the sixth against the Twins on April 21, no pitcher has sustained the flawless 27 outs amid persistent walks, singles, and fielding miscues. Historical scarcity (only 24 perfect games ever), modern bullpen usage curbing complete games, and resilient offenses maintain the low base rate, with the wisdom of crowds anticipating the streak endures over the full 162-game slate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
新規
新規
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the league's ongoing no-hitter drought—now spanning from 2025, the first year without one in two decades—through over 600 games into mid-May. Despite dominant outings like Paul Skenes' perfect game into the seventh inning versus the Brewers on April 24 and Nolan McLean's bid to the sixth against the Twins on April 21, no pitcher has sustained the flawless 27 outs amid persistent walks, singles, and fielding miscues. Historical scarcity (only 24 perfect games ever), modern bullpen usage curbing complete games, and resilient offenses maintain the low base rate, with the wisdom of crowds anticipating the streak endures over the full 162-game slate.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
音量
$8,043マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the league's ongoing no-hitter drought—now spanning from 2025, the first year without one in two decades—through over 600 games into mid-May. Despite dominant outings like Paul Skenes' perfect game into the seventh inning versus the Brewers on April 24 and Nolan McLean's bid to the sixth against the Twins on April 21, no pitcher has sustained the flawless 27 outs amid persistent walks, singles, and fielding miscues. Historical scarcity (only 24 perfect games ever), modern bullpen usage curbing complete games, and resilient offenses maintain the low base rate, with the wisdom of crowds anticipating the streak endures over the full 162-game slate.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,043マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the league's ongoing no-hitter drought—now spanning from 2025, the first year without one in two decades—through over 600 games into mid-May. Despite dominant outings like Paul Skenes' perfect game into the seventh inning versus the Brewers on April 24 and Nolan McLean's bid to the sixth against the Twins on April 21, no pitcher has sustained the flawless 27 outs amid persistent walks, singles, and fielding miscues. Historical scarcity (only 24 perfect games ever), modern bullpen usage curbing complete games, and resilient offenses maintain the low base rate, with the wisdom of crowds anticipating the streak endures over the full 162-game slate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問