James Harden's strong preference to remain with the Cleveland Cavaliers drives the market's 97.8% implied probability for that outcome, following his mid-2025-26 trade to Cleveland and expressed commitment after helping the team reach the Eastern Conference Finals. Recent reports confirm ongoing negotiations for a multi-year extension structured to preserve salary cap flexibility for roster additions like Jonathan Kuminga, with the 36-year-old guard declining his $42.3 million player option to facilitate those moves. Trader consensus reflects consistent insider updates from league sources emphasizing a harmonious return rather than open-market pursuit by other clubs. Scenarios that could shift odds include a breakdown in talks over contract length or guarantees, or an unexpected offer from a contender creating leverage, though current reporting shows no such developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Cleveland Cavaliers 97.8%
Golden State Warriors 2.4%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,191 Vol.
$1,294,191 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.8%
Golden State Warriors 2.4%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,191 Vol.
$1,294,191 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Harden's strong preference to remain with the Cleveland Cavaliers drives the market's 97.8% implied probability for that outcome, following his mid-2025-26 trade to Cleveland and expressed commitment after helping the team reach the Eastern Conference Finals. Recent reports confirm ongoing negotiations for a multi-year extension structured to preserve salary cap flexibility for roster additions like Jonathan Kuminga, with the 36-year-old guard declining his $42.3 million player option to facilitate those moves. Trader consensus reflects consistent insider updates from league sources emphasizing a harmonious return rather than open-market pursuit by other clubs. Scenarios that could shift odds include a breakdown in talks over contract length or guarantees, or an unexpected offer from a contender creating leverage, though current reporting shows no such developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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