Cleveland Cavaliers hold overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for James Harden’s next team because the 11-time All-Star guard opted out of his player option to provide Cleveland salary-cap flexibility while pursuing restricted free agents such as Peyton Watson or Jonathan Kuminga. Multiple reports confirm an agreement is in place for a short-term extension after midseason acquisition from the Clippers boosted Cleveland’s Eastern Conference Finals run alongside Donovan Mitchell. The delay stems from ongoing roster maneuvers rather than interest from other clubs. Even at this elevated probability, an unforeseen superior offer from another contender or a sudden shift in Cleveland’s cap situation could still alter the outcome before the deal is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Cleveland Cavaliers 98.0%
Golden State Warriors 2.0%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,084 Vol.
$1,294,084 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 98.0%
Golden State Warriors 2.0%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,084 Vol.
$1,294,084 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleveland Cavaliers hold overwhelming trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for James Harden’s next team because the 11-time All-Star guard opted out of his player option to provide Cleveland salary-cap flexibility while pursuing restricted free agents such as Peyton Watson or Jonathan Kuminga. Multiple reports confirm an agreement is in place for a short-term extension after midseason acquisition from the Clippers boosted Cleveland’s Eastern Conference Finals run alongside Donovan Mitchell. The delay stems from ongoing roster maneuvers rather than interest from other clubs. Even at this elevated probability, an unforeseen superior offer from another contender or a sudden shift in Cleveland’s cap situation could still alter the outcome before the deal is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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