LeBron James' decision to leave the Lakers after exercising his 2025-26 player option and informing the team he will sign elsewhere for his record 24th season has created significant uncertainty around his next deal. At age 41, the four-time MVP is prioritizing contention over maximum salary, with reports indicating the Lakers will not extend a max offer and speculation centering on a veteran minimum or low-to-mid seven-figure annual value with a contender. Recent free-agency rumors involving teams like the Warriors add variables around roster fit, minutes, and incentives, while his stated goal of competing keeps open the possibility of a modest but above-minimum contract. These factors have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered across ranges as traders assess how much his championship pedigree and experience will command versus age-related decline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?
NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?
Under $4M 50%
$4M-$10M 50%
$10M-$15M 50%
$15M-$50M 50%
新規
新規
2026/10/31
Under $4M
50%
$4M-$10M
50%
$10M-$15M
50%
$15M-$50M
50%
Over $50M
50%
Under $4M 50%
$4M-$10M 50%
$10M-$15M 50%
$15M-$50M 50%
新規
新規
2026/10/31
Under $4M
$0 Vol.
50%
$4M-$10M
$0 Vol.
50%
$10M-$15M
$0 Vol.
50%
$15M-$50M
$0 Vol.
50%
Over $50M
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James' decision to leave the Lakers after exercising his 2025-26 player option and informing the team he will sign elsewhere for his record 24th season has created significant uncertainty around his next deal. At age 41, the four-time MVP is prioritizing contention over maximum salary, with reports indicating the Lakers will not extend a max offer and speculation centering on a veteran minimum or low-to-mid seven-figure annual value with a contender. Recent free-agency rumors involving teams like the Warriors add variables around roster fit, minutes, and incentives, while his stated goal of competing keeps open the possibility of a modest but above-minimum contract. These factors have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered across ranges as traders assess how much his championship pedigree and experience will command versus age-related decline.
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 11:43 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 11:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James' decision to leave the Lakers after exercising his 2025-26 player option and informing the team he will sign elsewhere for his record 24th season has created significant uncertainty around his next deal. At age 41, the four-time MVP is prioritizing contention over maximum salary, with reports indicating the Lakers will not extend a max offer and speculation centering on a veteran minimum or low-to-mid seven-figure annual value with a contender. Recent free-agency rumors involving teams like the Warriors add variables around roster fit, minutes, and incentives, while his stated goal of competing keeps open the possibility of a modest but above-minimum contract. These factors have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered across ranges as traders assess how much his championship pedigree and experience will command versus age-related decline.
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 11:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James' decision to leave the Lakers after exercising his 2025-26 player option and informing the team he will sign elsewhere for his record 24th season has created significant uncertainty around his next deal. At age 41, the four-time MVP is prioritizing contention over maximum salary, with reports indicating the Lakers will not extend a max offer and speculation centering on a veteran minimum or low-to-mid seven-figure annual value with a contender. Recent free-agency rumors involving teams like the Warriors add variables around roster fit, minutes, and incentives, while his stated goal of competing keeps open the possibility of a modest but above-minimum contract. These factors have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered across ranges as traders assess how much his championship pedigree and experience will command versus age-related decline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問