Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys showing margins of 5–8 points among likely voters ahead of the September 8 primaries and November 3 general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency after her 2024 victory, while Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee and former Executive Councilor, faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have maintained the governorship despite competitive presidential results. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, and trader pricing on prediction markets aligns with this polling consensus rather than indicating a toss-up. Limited primary opposition for Ayotte further reduces uncertainty in the short term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$7,417 Vol.
81%
民主党
$8,927 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys showing margins of 5–8 points among likely voters ahead of the September 8 primaries and November 3 general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency after her 2024 victory, while Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee and former Executive Councilor, faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have maintained the governorship despite competitive presidential results. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, and trader pricing on prediction markets aligns with this polling consensus rather than indicating a toss-up. Limited primary opposition for Ayotte further reduces uncertainty in the short term.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
音量
$16,343終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys showing margins of 5–8 points among likely voters ahead of the September 8 primaries and November 3 general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency after her 2024 victory, while Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee and former Executive Councilor, faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have maintained the governorship despite competitive presidential results. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, and trader pricing on prediction markets aligns with this polling consensus rather than indicating a toss-up. Limited primary opposition for Ayotte further reduces uncertainty in the short term.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$16,343終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys showing margins of 5–8 points among likely voters ahead of the September 8 primaries and November 3 general election. Ayotte benefits from incumbency after her 2024 victory, while Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee and former Executive Councilor, faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have maintained the governorship despite competitive presidential results. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, and trader pricing on prediction markets aligns with this polling consensus rather than indicating a toss-up. Limited primary opposition for Ayotte further reduces uncertainty in the short term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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