Trader consensus heavily favors José Mourinho at 91.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by reports over the past 48 hours from journalists like Fabrizio Romano and Sacha Tavolieri confirming advanced talks and an agreement in principle with Florentino Pérez, despite his modest €3m Benfica release clause. Current interim manager Álvaro Arbeloa sits at 49.5% after taking over from sacked predecessor Xabi Alonso in January following poor La Liga and Supercopa results, but Champions League elimination last week has intensified pressure for change ahead of season end. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu success, including a record 100-point La Liga campaign, bolsters his position as Pérez's preferred choice. Scenarios challenging this include Pérez withholding final approval amid club elections, internal opposition from figures like Iker Casillas favoring Arbeloa's continuity, or a surprise pivot to candidates like Didier Deschamps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日次のレアル・マドリード監督は?
次のレアル・マドリード監督は?
ジョゼ・モウリーニョ 92%
トーマス・トゥヘル 3.4%
ディディエ・デシャン 3.3%
ユルゲン・クロップ 1.7%
$116,322 Vol.
$116,322 Vol.
ジョゼ・モウリーニョ
92%
トーマス・トゥヘル
3%
ディディエ・デシャン
3%
ユルゲン・クロップ
2%
マウリシオ・ポチェッティーノ
1%
ルイス・エンリケ
1%
マッシミリアーノ・アッレグリ
1%
ジネディーヌ・ジダン
1%
エンツォ・マレスカ
1%
ウナイ・エメリ
1%
ミケル・アルテタ
1%
ジュリアン・ナーゲルスマン
1%
アンドニ・イラオラ
<1%
ロベルト・デ・ゼルビ
<1%
オリバー・グラスナー
<1%
リオネル・スカローニ
<1%
ジョゼ・モウリーニョ 92%
トーマス・トゥヘル 3.4%
ディディエ・デシャン 3.3%
ユルゲン・クロップ 1.7%
$116,322 Vol.
$116,322 Vol.
ジョゼ・モウリーニョ
92%
トーマス・トゥヘル
3%
ディディエ・デシャン
3%
ユルゲン・クロップ
2%
マウリシオ・ポチェッティーノ
1%
ルイス・エンリケ
1%
マッシミリアーノ・アッレグリ
1%
ジネディーヌ・ジダン
1%
エンツォ・マレスカ
1%
ウナイ・エメリ
1%
ミケル・アルテタ
1%
ジュリアン・ナーゲルスマン
1%
アンドニ・イラオラ
<1%
ロベルト・デ・ゼルビ
<1%
オリバー・グラスナー
<1%
リオネル・スカローニ
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors José Mourinho at 91.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by reports over the past 48 hours from journalists like Fabrizio Romano and Sacha Tavolieri confirming advanced talks and an agreement in principle with Florentino Pérez, despite his modest €3m Benfica release clause. Current interim manager Álvaro Arbeloa sits at 49.5% after taking over from sacked predecessor Xabi Alonso in January following poor La Liga and Supercopa results, but Champions League elimination last week has intensified pressure for change ahead of season end. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu success, including a record 100-point La Liga campaign, bolsters his position as Pérez's preferred choice. Scenarios challenging this include Pérez withholding final approval amid club elections, internal opposition from figures like Iker Casillas favoring Arbeloa's continuity, or a surprise pivot to candidates like Didier Deschamps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問