Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ボラ・ティヌブ 63%
ピーター・オビ 38%
ラビウ・クワンクワソ 1.1%
オモイエレ・ソウォレ <1%
$56,031 Vol.
$56,031 Vol.
2027/01/16
ボラ・ティヌブ
63%
ピーター・オビ
38%
ラビウ・クワンクワソ
1%
オモイエレ・ソウォレ
<1%
ロティミ・アメチ
<1%
ボラ・ティヌブ 63%
ピーター・オビ 38%
ラビウ・クワンクワソ 1.1%
オモイエレ・ソウォレ <1%
$56,031 Vol.
$56,031 Vol.
2027/01/16
ボラ・ティヌブ
$29,727 Vol.
63%
ピーター・オビ
$14,486 Vol.
38%
ラビウ・クワンクワソ
$3,241 Vol.
1%
オモイエレ・ソウォレ
$4,884 Vol.
<1%
ロティミ・アメチ
$3,694 Vol.
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
音量
$56,031終了日
2027/01/16マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
音量
$56,031終了日
2027/01/16マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問