In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, set for postal voting on October 27, 2026, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds more than about 35% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, and Wendy Mitchell, with nominations closing September 21. Persistent council tensions over governance, transparency, and past legal disputes continue to shape voter considerations around local infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities. The close pricing stems from this dispersed support and limited recent polling or major campaign shifts. Events such as candidate forums, final nomination announcements, or late developments in council dynamics could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of ballot distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メアリー・ノウルズ 35%
アンドリュー・マカラフ 30%
アダム・バーネット 9%
ウェンディ・ミッチェル 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
メアリー・ノウルズ
35%
アンドリュー・マカラフ
30%
アダム・バーネット
9%
ウェンディ・ミッチェル
4%
アンジェラ・オフォード
2%
メアリー・ノウルズ 35%
アンドリュー・マカラフ 30%
アダム・バーネット 9%
ウェンディ・ミッチェル 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
メアリー・ノウルズ
$2,651 Vol.
35%
アンドリュー・マカラフ
$1,014 Vol.
30%
アダム・バーネット
$553 Vol.
9%
ウェンディ・ミッチェル
$506 Vol.
4%
アンジェラ・オフォード
$257 Vol.
2%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, set for postal voting on October 27, 2026, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds more than about 35% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, and Wendy Mitchell, with nominations closing September 21. Persistent council tensions over governance, transparency, and past legal disputes continue to shape voter considerations around local infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities. The close pricing stems from this dispersed support and limited recent polling or major campaign shifts. Events such as candidate forums, final nomination announcements, or late developments in council dynamics could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of ballot distribution.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
音量
$4,981終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, set for postal voting on October 27, 2026, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds more than about 35% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, and Wendy Mitchell, with nominations closing September 21. Persistent council tensions over governance, transparency, and past legal disputes continue to shape voter considerations around local infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities. The close pricing stems from this dispersed support and limited recent polling or major campaign shifts. Events such as candidate forums, final nomination announcements, or late developments in council dynamics could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of ballot distribution.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$4,981終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETIn Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, set for postal voting on October 27, 2026, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds more than about 35% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, and Wendy Mitchell, with nominations closing September 21. Persistent council tensions over governance, transparency, and past legal disputes continue to shape voter considerations around local infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities. The close pricing stems from this dispersed support and limited recent polling or major campaign shifts. Events such as candidate forums, final nomination announcements, or late developments in council dynamics could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of ballot distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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