North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in April 2026, including tests with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24 from the Sinpo area, marking at least four tests that month and contributing to a pattern of intensified activity earlier in the year. No launches have been reported in the first half of May, aligning with typical post-barrage pauses in Pyongyang’s testing cycles amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea military cooperation and regional diplomacy. Traders assign a 69% implied probability to fewer than two test days for the full month, reflecting these historical rhythms and the lack of fresh triggers such as major exercises or diplomatic escalations that could prompt additional firings before May 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2未満 69%
2～3 26%
4回以上 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
2未満
69%
2～3
26%
4回以上
4%
2未満 69%
2～3 26%
4回以上 4.3%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
2未満
$1,347 Vol.
69%
2～3
$3,160 Vol.
26%
4回以上
$516 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in April 2026, including tests with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24 from the Sinpo area, marking at least four tests that month and contributing to a pattern of intensified activity earlier in the year. No launches have been reported in the first half of May, aligning with typical post-barrage pauses in Pyongyang’s testing cycles amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea military cooperation and regional diplomacy. Traders assign a 69% implied probability to fewer than two test days for the full month, reflecting these historical rhythms and the lack of fresh triggers such as major exercises or diplomatic escalations that could prompt additional firings before May 31.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$5,023終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in April 2026, including tests with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24 from the Sinpo area, marking at least four tests that month and contributing to a pattern of intensified activity earlier in the year. No launches have been reported in the first half of May, aligning with typical post-barrage pauses in Pyongyang’s testing cycles amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea military cooperation and regional diplomacy. Traders assign a 69% implied probability to fewer than two test days for the full month, reflecting these historical rhythms and the lack of fresh triggers such as major exercises or diplomatic escalations that could prompt additional firings before May 31.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
音量
$5,023終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile launches in April 2026, including tests with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24 from the Sinpo area, marking at least four tests that month and contributing to a pattern of intensified activity earlier in the year. No launches have been reported in the first half of May, aligning with typical post-barrage pauses in Pyongyang’s testing cycles amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea military cooperation and regional diplomacy. Traders assign a 69% implied probability to fewer than two test days for the full month, reflecting these historical rhythms and the lack of fresh triggers such as major exercises or diplomatic escalations that could prompt additional firings before May 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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