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icon for オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞

オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞

icon for オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞

オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞

Julianne Moore 28%

インディ・ナバレッテ 22%

Renate Reinsve 15%

Rachel Brosnahan 7.3%

Polymarket

$62,955 Vol.

Julianne Moore 28%

インディ・ナバレッテ 22%

Renate Reinsve 15%

Rachel Brosnahan 7.3%

Polymarket

$62,955 Vol.

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$42,653 Vol.

28%

icon for インディ・ナバレッテ

インディ・ナバレッテ

$8,592 Vol.

22%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$10,260 Vol.

15%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$20 Vol.

7%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$468 Vol.

7%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$845 Vol.

7%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$5 Vol.

6%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$10 Vol.

6%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$97 Vol.

5%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$5 Vol.

5%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around announced 2026 films shapes the wide-open 2027 Best Actress market, where no single contender exceeds low-30s implied probability amid high uncertainty. Julianne Moore leads trader sentiment on the strength of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 drama The Debut and her proven awards pedigree, followed closely by Inde Navarrette in Focus Features’ Obsession and Renate Reinsve in NEON’s Fjord. Supporting roles from Sandra Hüller, Michelle Williams, and others reflect industry anticipation for strong female-driven projects from prestige distributors, though actual screenings, festival premieres, and guild precursors remain months away. The crowded field and modest odds on established names underscore how quickly momentum can shift once reviews and campaign narratives emerge.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$62,955
終了日
2027/03/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around announced 2026 films shapes the wide-open 2027 Best Actress market, where no single contender exceeds low-30s implied probability amid high uncertainty. Julianne Moore leads trader sentiment on the strength of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 drama The Debut and her proven awards pedigree, followed closely by Inde Navarrette in Focus Features’ Obsession and Renate Reinsve in NEON’s Fjord. Supporting roles from Sandra Hüller, Michelle Williams, and others reflect industry anticipation for strong female-driven projects from prestige distributors, though actual screenings, festival premieres, and guild precursors remain months away. The crowded field and modest odds on established names underscore how quickly momentum can shift once reviews and campaign narratives emerge.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$62,955
終了日
2027/03/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Julianne Moore」で28%、次いで「インディ・ナバレッテ」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞」は$63Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞」の現在のフロントランナーは「Julianne Moore」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「インディ・ナバレッテ」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。