Early buzz around announced 2026 films shapes the wide-open 2027 Best Actress market, where no single contender exceeds low-30s implied probability amid high uncertainty. Julianne Moore leads trader sentiment on the strength of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 drama The Debut and her proven awards pedigree, followed closely by Inde Navarrette in Focus Features’ Obsession and Renate Reinsve in NEON’s Fjord. Supporting roles from Sandra Hüller, Michelle Williams, and others reflect industry anticipation for strong female-driven projects from prestige distributors, though actual screenings, festival premieres, and guild precursors remain months away. The crowded field and modest odds on established names underscore how quickly momentum can shift once reviews and campaign narratives emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞
Julianne Moore 28%
インディ・ナバレッテ 22%
Renate Reinsve 15%
Rachel Brosnahan 7.3%
$62,955 Vol.
$62,955 Vol.

Julianne Moore
28%

インディ・ナバレッテ
22%

Renate Reinsve
15%

Rachel Brosnahan
7%

Léa Seydoux
7%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Virginie Efira
6%

Ruth Madeley
6%

Sophie Okonedo
6%

Michelle Williams
5%

Scarlett Johansson
5%
Julianne Moore 28%
インディ・ナバレッテ 22%
Renate Reinsve 15%
Rachel Brosnahan 7.3%
$62,955 Vol.
$62,955 Vol.

Julianne Moore
28%

インディ・ナバレッテ
22%

Renate Reinsve
15%

Rachel Brosnahan
7%

Léa Seydoux
7%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Virginie Efira
6%

Ruth Madeley
6%

Sophie Okonedo
6%

Michelle Williams
5%

Scarlett Johansson
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early buzz around announced 2026 films shapes the wide-open 2027 Best Actress market, where no single contender exceeds low-30s implied probability amid high uncertainty. Julianne Moore leads trader sentiment on the strength of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 drama The Debut and her proven awards pedigree, followed closely by Inde Navarrette in Focus Features’ Obsession and Renate Reinsve in NEON’s Fjord. Supporting roles from Sandra Hüller, Michelle Williams, and others reflect industry anticipation for strong female-driven projects from prestige distributors, though actual screenings, festival premieres, and guild precursors remain months away. The crowded field and modest odds on established names underscore how quickly momentum can shift once reviews and campaign narratives emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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