Early industry buzz around 2026 releases is shaping the wide-open 2027 Best Actress market, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Julianne Moore leads implied odds at 29.5% on the strength of positive early word for her role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy The Debut, positioning her as a potential two-time winner. Inde Navarrette follows at 21.5% amid breakout chatter for Focus Features’ horror film Obsession, though campaign positioning debates persist. Renate Reinsve (14.5%), Sandra Hüller, Léa Seydoux, and others sit lower as traders weigh precursor momentum, guild signals, and historical Academy preferences for established performers against newer contenders. With 2026 films still rolling out, fall festivals and guild nominations will likely clarify the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 :主演女優賞受賞
Julianne Moore 30%
インディ・ナバレッテ 22%
Renate Reinsve 15%
Léa Seydoux 7%
$63,687 Vol.
$63,687 Vol.

Julianne Moore
30%

インディ・ナバレッテ
22%

Renate Reinsve
15%

Léa Seydoux
7%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Rachel Brosnahan
7%

Virginie Efira
5%

Sophie Okonedo
5%

Ruth Madeley
5%

Michelle Williams
5%

Scarlett Johansson
5%
Julianne Moore 30%
インディ・ナバレッテ 22%
Renate Reinsve 15%
Léa Seydoux 7%
$63,687 Vol.
$63,687 Vol.

Julianne Moore
30%

インディ・ナバレッテ
22%

Renate Reinsve
15%

Léa Seydoux
7%

Sandra Hüller
7%

Rachel Brosnahan
7%

Virginie Efira
5%

Sophie Okonedo
5%

Ruth Madeley
5%

Michelle Williams
5%

Scarlett Johansson
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early industry buzz around 2026 releases is shaping the wide-open 2027 Best Actress market, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Julianne Moore leads implied odds at 29.5% on the strength of positive early word for her role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy The Debut, positioning her as a potential two-time winner. Inde Navarrette follows at 21.5% amid breakout chatter for Focus Features’ horror film Obsession, though campaign positioning debates persist. Renate Reinsve (14.5%), Sandra Hüller, Léa Seydoux, and others sit lower as traders weigh precursor momentum, guild signals, and historical Academy preferences for established performers against newer contenders. With 2026 films still rolling out, fall festivals and guild nominations will likely clarify the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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