The Black Ball (La Bola Negra) leads trader sentiment at 68.5% implied probability thanks to its standout Cannes 2026 premiere, where directors Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo claimed the Best Director prize for the ambitious Spanish Netflix drama spanning decades of queer history. Early industry lists from Variety and awards sites highlight its frontrunner status, buoyed by strong critical buzz, high-profile talent including Penélope Cruz, and Academy-friendly themes that align with recent voting patterns favoring bold international narratives. Other contenders such as All of a Sudden, Fjord, Minotaur, and Possible Love sit near even odds amid limited releases and festival circuits still ahead, while lower-probability titles face steeper barriers in securing submissions and precursor momentum before the 2027 ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：最優秀国際長編映画賞
オスカー2027 ：最優秀国際長編映画賞
ザ・ブラック・ボール 67%
ドリームド・アドベンチャー 36%
The Man I Love 36%
ファーザーランド 36%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
ザ・ブラック・ボール
67%
ドリームド・アドベンチャー
36%
The Man I Love
36%
ファーザーランド
36%
Possible Love
36%
パラレル・テイルズ
36%
オール・オブ・ア・サドン
34%
ホープ
34%
ビター・クリスマス
29%
フィヨルド
25%
ローズ
23%
シープ・イン・ザ・ボックス
23%
ミノタウロス
22%
ザ・ビラヴド
22%
カウワード
22%
ザ・ブラック・ボール 67%
ドリームド・アドベンチャー 36%
The Man I Love 36%
ファーザーランド 36%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
ザ・ブラック・ボール
$0 Vol.
67%
ドリームド・アドベンチャー
$0 Vol.
36%
The Man I Love
$0 Vol.
36%
ファーザーランド
$0 Vol.
36%
Possible Love
$0 Vol.
36%
パラレル・テイルズ
$0 Vol.
36%
オール・オブ・ア・サドン
$0 Vol.
34%
ホープ
$0 Vol.
34%
ビター・クリスマス
$0 Vol.
29%
フィヨルド
$0 Vol.
25%
ローズ
$0 Vol.
23%
シープ・イン・ザ・ボックス
$0 Vol.
23%
ミノタウロス
$0 Vol.
22%
ザ・ビラヴド
$0 Vol.
22%
カウワード
$0 Vol.
22%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball (La Bola Negra) leads trader sentiment at 68.5% implied probability thanks to its standout Cannes 2026 premiere, where directors Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo claimed the Best Director prize for the ambitious Spanish Netflix drama spanning decades of queer history. Early industry lists from Variety and awards sites highlight its frontrunner status, buoyed by strong critical buzz, high-profile talent including Penélope Cruz, and Academy-friendly themes that align with recent voting patterns favoring bold international narratives. Other contenders such as All of a Sudden, Fjord, Minotaur, and Possible Love sit near even odds amid limited releases and festival circuits still ahead, while lower-probability titles face steeper barriers in securing submissions and precursor momentum before the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball (La Bola Negra) leads trader sentiment at 68.5% implied probability thanks to its standout Cannes 2026 premiere, where directors Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo claimed the Best Director prize for the ambitious Spanish Netflix drama spanning decades of queer history. Early industry lists from Variety and awards sites highlight its frontrunner status, buoyed by strong critical buzz, high-profile talent including Penélope Cruz, and Academy-friendly themes that align with recent voting patterns favoring bold international narratives. Other contenders such as All of a Sudden, Fjord, Minotaur, and Possible Love sit near even odds amid limited releases and festival circuits still ahead, while lower-probability titles face steeper barriers in securing submissions and precursor momentum before the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball (La Bola Negra) leads trader sentiment at 68.5% implied probability thanks to its standout Cannes 2026 premiere, where directors Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo claimed the Best Director prize for the ambitious Spanish Netflix drama spanning decades of queer history. Early industry lists from Variety and awards sites highlight its frontrunner status, buoyed by strong critical buzz, high-profile talent including Penélope Cruz, and Academy-friendly themes that align with recent voting patterns favoring bold international narratives. Other contenders such as All of a Sudden, Fjord, Minotaur, and Possible Love sit near even odds amid limited releases and festival circuits still ahead, while lower-probability titles face steeper barriers in securing submissions and precursor momentum before the 2027 ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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