Wild Horse Nine holds the clearest early edge in the Best Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven awards track record and consistent placement atop 2027 predictions from outlets tracking the race. Fjord and Digger sit just behind, buoyed by Cristian Mungiu’s arthouse pedigree and strong ensemble buzz, respectively, while The Debut, Obsession, and Club Kid draw support from A24 and Focus marketing muscle. With the 2026 festival season still ramping up and no guild precursors available, traders treat the category as wide open, pricing a deep field near even odds until fall releases and critical consensus provide clearer signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 38%
Digger 8%
Fjord 8%
The Drama 7%
Wild Horse Nine
38%
Digger
8%
Fjord
8%
The Drama
7%
The Invite
6%
Josephine
6%
Obsession
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
4%
Club Kid
4%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Black Ball
2%
The Debut
1%
Wild Horse Nine 38%
Digger 8%
Fjord 8%
The Drama 7%
Wild Horse Nine
38%
Digger
8%
Fjord
8%
The Drama
7%
The Invite
6%
Josephine
6%
Obsession
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
4%
Club Kid
4%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Black Ball
2%
The Debut
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine holds the clearest early edge in the Best Original Screenplay market thanks to Martin McDonagh’s proven awards track record and consistent placement atop 2027 predictions from outlets tracking the race. Fjord and Digger sit just behind, buoyed by Cristian Mungiu’s arthouse pedigree and strong ensemble buzz, respectively, while The Debut, Obsession, and Club Kid draw support from A24 and Focus marketing muscle. With the 2026 festival season still ramping up and no guild precursors available, traders treat the category as wide open, pricing a deep field near even odds until fall releases and critical consensus provide clearer signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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