Early frontrunner Paul Giamatti in The Debut leads trader sentiment at 32.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early industry buzz and critical mentions positioning the A24 project as a awards contender. Multiple actors trail closely behind—including John Goodman, Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine, and Jeremy Strong—with probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid single digits, reflecting a wide-open field typical of the supporting actor category before major festival premieres and guild screenings. Historical voting patterns favor established performers with strong reviews, though late 2026 releases and precursor results like critics’ circle nods could quickly shift momentum among the crowded slate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.3%
Sam Rockwell 6.8%
$10,256 Vol.
$10,256 Vol.
2027/03/14
Paul Giamatti
33%
John Goodman
8%
Robert Pattinson
7%
Sam Rockwell
7%
Jeremy Strong
4%
Jesse Plemons
4%
Riz Ahmed
4%
Miles Teller
4%
Tom Holland
4%
Robert De Niro
4%
Himesh Patel
4%
Daniel Craig
4%
Steve Buscemi
4%
Colman Domingo
3%
Edward Norton
3%
Travis Scott
3%
Michael Fassbender
3%
Channing Tatum
2%
Charles Melton
2%
Adam Scott
2%
James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 33%
John Goodman 8%
Robert Pattinson 7.3%
Sam Rockwell 6.8%
$10,256 Vol.
$10,256 Vol.
2027/03/14
Paul Giamatti
$2,163 Vol.
33%
John Goodman
$150 Vol.
8%
Robert Pattinson
$6,476 Vol.
7%
Sam Rockwell
$81 Vol.
7%
Jeremy Strong
$55 Vol.
4%
Jesse Plemons
$68 Vol.
4%
Riz Ahmed
$97 Vol.
4%
Miles Teller
$85 Vol.
4%
Tom Holland
$55 Vol.
4%
Robert De Niro
$55 Vol.
4%
Himesh Patel
$55 Vol.
4%
Daniel Craig
$55 Vol.
4%
Steve Buscemi
$60 Vol.
4%
Colman Domingo
$75 Vol.
3%
Edward Norton
$128 Vol.
3%
Travis Scott
$132 Vol.
3%
Michael Fassbender
$55 Vol.
3%
Channing Tatum
$145 Vol.
2%
Charles Melton
$104 Vol.
2%
Adam Scott
$87 Vol.
2%
James Ortiz
$75 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early frontrunner Paul Giamatti in The Debut leads trader sentiment at 32.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early industry buzz and critical mentions positioning the A24 project as a awards contender. Multiple actors trail closely behind—including John Goodman, Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine, and Jeremy Strong—with probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid single digits, reflecting a wide-open field typical of the supporting actor category before major festival premieres and guild screenings. Historical voting patterns favor established performers with strong reviews, though late 2026 releases and precursor results like critics’ circle nods could quickly shift momentum among the crowded slate.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
音量
$10,256終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early frontrunner Paul Giamatti in The Debut leads trader sentiment at 32.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early industry buzz and critical mentions positioning the A24 project as a awards contender. Multiple actors trail closely behind—including John Goodman, Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine, and Jeremy Strong—with probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid single digits, reflecting a wide-open field typical of the supporting actor category before major festival premieres and guild screenings. Historical voting patterns favor established performers with strong reviews, though late 2026 releases and precursor results like critics’ circle nods could quickly shift momentum among the crowded slate.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$10,256終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early frontrunner Paul Giamatti in The Debut leads trader sentiment at 32.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early industry buzz and critical mentions positioning the A24 project as a awards contender. Multiple actors trail closely behind—including John Goodman, Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine, and Jeremy Strong—with probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid single digits, reflecting a wide-open field typical of the supporting actor category before major festival premieres and guild screenings. Historical voting patterns favor established performers with strong reviews, though late 2026 releases and precursor results like critics’ circle nods could quickly shift momentum among the crowded slate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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