With the field for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar still wide open in August 2026, trader sentiment reflects an unusually fragmented market where Anne Hathaway holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% while Penélope Cruz sits at 13% and a long list of contenders trail below 8%. Early positioning stems from Hathaway’s proven awards pedigree and upcoming high-profile projects, contrasted with Cruz’s strong critical track record and international appeal. The close clustering of dozens of names near 50% underscores how little 2026 release data, guild buzz, or precursor momentum has emerged yet, leaving room for late-breaking performances, festival premieres, and campaign narratives to reshape odds ahead of nomination voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：助演女優賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：助演女優賞受賞
アン・ハサウェイ 43%
ペネロペ・クルス 13%
ベティ・ギルピン 7%
ゼンデイヤ 7%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
アン・ハサウェイ
43%
ペネロペ・クルス
13%
ベティ・ギルピン
7%
ゼンデイヤ
7%
サンドラ・ヒュラー
6%
岡本多緒
5%
パーカー・ポージー
5%
イザベラ・ロッセリーニ
5%
マリアナ・ディ・ジロラモ
5%
インディ・ナバレッテ
5%
マーガレット・クアリー
4%
ダニエル・デッドワイラー
4%
ジェンマ・チャン
4%
アン・ハサウェイ 43%
ペネロペ・クルス 13%
ベティ・ギルピン 7%
ゼンデイヤ 7%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
アン・ハサウェイ
$2,216 Vol.
43%
ペネロペ・クルス
$331 Vol.
13%
ベティ・ギルピン
$191 Vol.
7%
ゼンデイヤ
$213 Vol.
7%
サンドラ・ヒュラー
$216 Vol.
6%
岡本多緒
$50 Vol.
5%
パーカー・ポージー
$71 Vol.
5%
イザベラ・ロッセリーニ
$70 Vol.
5%
マリアナ・ディ・ジロラモ
$50 Vol.
5%
インディ・ナバレッテ
$181 Vol.
5%
マーガレット・クアリー
$181 Vol.
4%
ダニエル・デッドワイラー
$222 Vol.
4%
ジェンマ・チャン
$102 Vol.
4%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the field for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar still wide open in August 2026, trader sentiment reflects an unusually fragmented market where Anne Hathaway holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% while Penélope Cruz sits at 13% and a long list of contenders trail below 8%. Early positioning stems from Hathaway’s proven awards pedigree and upcoming high-profile projects, contrasted with Cruz’s strong critical track record and international appeal. The close clustering of dozens of names near 50% underscores how little 2026 release data, guild buzz, or precursor momentum has emerged yet, leaving room for late-breaking performances, festival premieres, and campaign narratives to reshape odds ahead of nomination voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
音量
$4,095終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the field for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar still wide open in August 2026, trader sentiment reflects an unusually fragmented market where Anne Hathaway holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% while Penélope Cruz sits at 13% and a long list of contenders trail below 8%. Early positioning stems from Hathaway’s proven awards pedigree and upcoming high-profile projects, contrasted with Cruz’s strong critical track record and international appeal. The close clustering of dozens of names near 50% underscores how little 2026 release data, guild buzz, or precursor momentum has emerged yet, leaving room for late-breaking performances, festival premieres, and campaign narratives to reshape odds ahead of nomination voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,095終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the field for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar still wide open in August 2026, trader sentiment reflects an unusually fragmented market where Anne Hathaway holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% while Penélope Cruz sits at 13% and a long list of contenders trail below 8%. Early positioning stems from Hathaway’s proven awards pedigree and upcoming high-profile projects, contrasted with Cruz’s strong critical track record and international appeal. The close clustering of dozens of names near 50% underscores how little 2026 release data, guild buzz, or precursor momentum has emerged yet, leaving room for late-breaking performances, festival premieres, and campaign narratives to reshape odds ahead of nomination voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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