Paloma Valencia finished third in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote with roughly 7 percent, well below the <10 percent threshold priced at 99.6 percent by traders. Her center-right Democratic Center candidacy, backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, consolidated traditional conservative support after winning the March interparty consultation but could not compete with the surge of independent Abelardo de la Espriella, whose hardline security platform and outsider appeal split the right-wing electorate. Leftist Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact and de la Espriella advanced to the June 21 runoff. A late swing in conservative turnout or official recount could theoretically alter the precise tally, though such shifts remain improbable given certified preliminary results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
2026/05/31
<10%
100%
10-15%
<1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
2026/05/31
<10%
$7,693 Vol.
100%
10-15%
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
15-20%
$733 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,496 Vol.
<1%
30-35%
$688 Vol.
<1%
35%+
$415 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia finished third in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote with roughly 7 percent, well below the <10 percent threshold priced at 99.6 percent by traders. Her center-right Democratic Center candidacy, backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, consolidated traditional conservative support after winning the March interparty consultation but could not compete with the surge of independent Abelardo de la Espriella, whose hardline security platform and outsider appeal split the right-wing electorate. Leftist Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact and de la Espriella advanced to the June 21 runoff. A late swing in conservative turnout or official recount could theoretically alter the precise tally, though such shifts remain improbable given certified preliminary results.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
マーケット開始日： May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
音量
$14,641終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia finished third in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote with roughly 7 percent, well below the <10 percent threshold priced at 99.6 percent by traders. Her center-right Democratic Center candidacy, backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, consolidated traditional conservative support after winning the March interparty consultation but could not compete with the surge of independent Abelardo de la Espriella, whose hardline security platform and outsider appeal split the right-wing electorate. Leftist Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact and de la Espriella advanced to the June 21 runoff. A late swing in conservative turnout or official recount could theoretically alter the precise tally, though such shifts remain improbable given certified preliminary results.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
音量
$14,641終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia finished third in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote with roughly 7 percent, well below the <10 percent threshold priced at 99.6 percent by traders. Her center-right Democratic Center candidacy, backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, consolidated traditional conservative support after winning the March interparty consultation but could not compete with the surge of independent Abelardo de la Espriella, whose hardline security platform and outsider appeal split the right-wing electorate. Leftist Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact and de la Espriella advanced to the June 21 runoff. A late swing in conservative turnout or official recount could theoretically alter the precise tally, though such shifts remain improbable given certified preliminary results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問