Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, according to certified preliminary results from the National Registry, placing him just behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and well inside the 40-45% range that commands overwhelming trader consensus. Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s Historic Pact coalition and emphasizing continuity on “total peace” negotiations, rural development, and progressive reforms, led most pre-election polls but saw right-wing support consolidate rapidly behind the outsider de la Espriella in the campaign’s final weeks. The 57.9% turnout and peaceful voting process, followed by official certification and Cepeda’s acceptance of the outcome, have anchored market pricing. Only a major recount dispute or delayed final tabulation could realistically shift the share outside this band before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40-45% 98.8%
45-50% 3.0%
35-40% 1.1%
55%+ 1.1%
$31,803 Vol.
$31,803 Vol.
2026/05/31
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
99%
45-50%
3%
50-55%
1%
55%+
1%
40-45% 98.8%
45-50% 3.0%
35-40% 1.1%
55%+ 1.1%
$31,803 Vol.
$31,803 Vol.
2026/05/31
<30%
$5,437 Vol.
1%
30-35%
$2,208 Vol.
1%
35-40%
$3,804 Vol.
1%
40-45%
$9,241 Vol.
99%
45-50%
$3,491 Vol.
3%
50-55%
$3,190 Vol.
1%
55%+
$4,432 Vol.
1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, according to certified preliminary results from the National Registry, placing him just behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and well inside the 40-45% range that commands overwhelming trader consensus. Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s Historic Pact coalition and emphasizing continuity on “total peace” negotiations, rural development, and progressive reforms, led most pre-election polls but saw right-wing support consolidate rapidly behind the outsider de la Espriella in the campaign’s final weeks. The 57.9% turnout and peaceful voting process, followed by official certification and Cepeda’s acceptance of the outcome, have anchored market pricing. Only a major recount dispute or delayed final tabulation could realistically shift the share outside this band before resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
マーケット開始日： May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
音量
$31,803終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, according to certified preliminary results from the National Registry, placing him just behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and well inside the 40-45% range that commands overwhelming trader consensus. Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s Historic Pact coalition and emphasizing continuity on “total peace” negotiations, rural development, and progressive reforms, led most pre-election polls but saw right-wing support consolidate rapidly behind the outsider de la Espriella in the campaign’s final weeks. The 57.9% turnout and peaceful voting process, followed by official certification and Cepeda’s acceptance of the outcome, have anchored market pricing. Only a major recount dispute or delayed final tabulation could realistically shift the share outside this band before resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
音量
$31,803終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, according to certified preliminary results from the National Registry, placing him just behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and well inside the 40-45% range that commands overwhelming trader consensus. Cepeda, backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro’s Historic Pact coalition and emphasizing continuity on “total peace” negotiations, rural development, and progressive reforms, led most pre-election polls but saw right-wing support consolidate rapidly behind the outsider de la Espriella in the campaign’s final weeks. The 57.9% turnout and peaceful voting process, followed by official certification and Cepeda’s acceptance of the outcome, have anchored market pricing. Only a major recount dispute or delayed final tabulation could realistically shift the share outside this band before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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