Brock Purdy’s three passing touchdowns in the 49ers’ Thursday night Week 1 win over the Rams in Melbourne have positioned him as the early leader in the market at 26% implied probability. Most other quarterbacks remain at single-digit or low-double-digit odds because their Week 1 games have not yet been played, leaving the final total dependent on Sunday and Monday performances across the slate. Quarterbacks such as Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Justin Herbert carry the next-highest implied probabilities due to projected volume against favorable defenses and recent form, while the long list of options at 3% or lower reflects the wide distribution of possible outcomes in a 16-game week where one or two multi-touchdown games can still shift the leaderboard. Weather, injuries, and game scripts remain variables that could alter the final count.